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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
* E) X7 q' c9 z. c9 HPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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EDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.* ^9 ?) @7 k" q% R' U6 C
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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, r A( J$ k `* \7 B" pResponses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen., N, ?1 X o% `7 n0 s9 n& v
4 I! U2 ], u6 _' }; R2 _! kIs this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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, H7 \& I* P/ e8 J/ v9 @ |( MNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.$ b/ k* S4 e: @
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."9 M6 B; T& _# e0 ~8 L$ q; e
+ U# ]1 n: e6 F' _3 q. |When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise. W5 }' U y% r' T7 G" L- {, Y% O
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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. _& ]) N' ^0 r2 W. x' sThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.* E6 p* k! ~ R! K* V2 Q
; {& ]) x% h; q6 z* G. uA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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2 } `, F# n a8 j0 xAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration.". m Y, Q( X& Y/ D$ E p7 D( y: i
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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$ b+ }+ R2 k. i- i: iBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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