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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
1 A W& Q; y4 S- | p. k! XJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
. ^ q+ U% p. Q; Q, z: psolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
3 K$ p" e: j4 V' d" q2 pchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European& j* G5 U7 }: x0 O5 W4 J3 f
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from9 w$ X2 [: j2 f7 A `6 O% y3 D4 J" z+ I$ [
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
5 U2 o3 Q. D. A* S7 b$ K" kbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
# Q9 A" \1 j6 A+ H; ~1 ^the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
$ u, m1 r7 z' h3 P3 P6 T( ]signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
0 h" n9 y' M. r2 V5 UBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative6 [2 a# l; ~5 \, C- ]/ d; m
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
6 u1 ~- a) o* d' d j* o7 z5 [recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.3 b0 H# q5 m( _6 T+ q3 e2 @8 W
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
5 s7 W% U6 R/ a6 H, @7 U0 f$ Fof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
0 p, H/ U- T0 U1 Yperformance.
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7 B1 c1 ?* X( m( b( QWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the! B* G# ^& P1 ^8 s
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the& ? a9 J+ C, c- q4 }0 T1 l
considerable slack in the economy.+ A3 V7 A+ M; W' j
: m; e2 t3 m$ {& j( o. iReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate2 I0 @: i; L5 ]
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the+ q+ i' w1 S& _$ E) h+ `: h, T
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
) y0 |+ {) ?* F& }3 m+ N$ lreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.1 M; B3 H: _( r/ G2 l
Information note:! s; u( T( y% M
5 q; @0 W1 r) z# W) S3 e5 J1 wThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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