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Oilsands an emerging global growth star6 ?% x6 b' S9 Q0 K* v
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
& R" r' ]" I$ g, D4 ?Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal% z* N2 \. D. }
Published: 2:37 am& i1 y6 c0 P. A7 e
EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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$ u v, x# L+ u( ]Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.1 j. U0 G9 F4 r; h8 X! R8 h
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5 Y/ S9 H* s, X- \9 hGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.$ H( w) o/ v7 B0 b
Larry Wong, The Journal" D$ x3 F$ c& K: O( |+ ~
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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9 Y0 r/ R9 C! aExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.' z- o. n1 ?4 T' p" V/ A
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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! J" ]% k6 d% x2 {# EWhile no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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