Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
) X' s, ]$ P+ q' R/ _. ?Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

9 s/ Y# E% c8 @' Y8 a: gDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

) M) g" Q$ v6 G* X9 c  R9 eOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

5 F( c+ H; h5 K- x2 B( D1 |Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

; O2 B4 e) U7 b' `Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
7 {2 ^! w- T2 S; p6 H+ E4 O NA
2328
) J: B$ m) M8 A 717
! k$ I8 s2 v5 Y! N 442,752
410,000
5 U, {/ M: a2 Q8 Q; f, o 320
$ J' `1 d% @" L3 N! } 28
31%

Jun 2007
* W& M" ?2 M3 {' g! B NA
2661
2 Y$ j8 j: i" i, c; a7 @( o 1011
3 t" F6 R  X- c! [- Y 442,817
& z7 Y  q9 n3 @  ?5 \5 J5 E1 k/ P4 \ 409,000
328
22
9 }8 u+ r% v& x9 f 38%
2 M# n& y% i7 X0 t- I" m5 y
& y1 c* D) B/ s8 x9 `4 q: j" QMay 2007
! B: c; w% R- E0 `* l! Z NA
2288
; M3 {3 B# y9 J0 _ 1261
451,216
415,000
322
8 X& Q- G! _& A( }' P 19
  i3 r! {" C8 r' K3 q 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
0 d( R0 T% f# u; f! e( k鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
4 H9 J1 a4 G4 o3 u这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
/ R- U) W2 {, U+ X5 r( T存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

! f' t3 X$ A0 B+ |/ R用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
; ?$ u( W1 Q3 Q8 z# U, {- y存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

/ {% A! z/ d4 `7 s& l7 p( |* ?
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

5 |' E1 C$ `5 k; {& h7 e6 b新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
1 \) ], {0 D9 `
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

8 l, P9 x( T5 I8 r1 ?3 j6 I' N/ z

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
/ I4 x0 e! o2 h+ V8 Q# j9 r) JHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
6 z, Z" e) ?# R+ T& |5 W9 a) J" vgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
% t6 T6 r; A& X8 G% z# g4 D2 nIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
4 M4 }* o: V! g  p$ X, G" cMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
0 m! N% q4 ]/ f# J: p$ zIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

& i2 \' @9 n, ]4 w9 ?QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
" k# c7 R  b6 r6 P7 h
7 R. L* w/ g' k9 f% J1 D6 p
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：


$ t8 |5 d7 R$ S( Q
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
7 j( m' {# d8 `' S看来，观察days inventory 更重要。