Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
9 i* S, i: \1 ^# G0 C' \; `) K
+ }6 ~- d3 a  NDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
% }1 m. l/ X. Z+ }. Z, O7 j
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
9 y, {+ c, B2 J1 l& }2 D6 S
4 s- E, c6 L6 F+ U5 WSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
NA
. f% ~+ ^. [1 f8 V# [- n 2328
717
0 Y3 T! {( r2 Y5 b' T3 I 442,752
$ j# [2 `, p2 x; x$ q 410,000
  S0 _* N% \6 n& l 320
28
. _; t! }4 z, t; c 31%
3 Q2 o# I% p5 Q1 [0 e
Jun 2007
* p& c9 h. c% N5 e" m" W* B7 p! P. | NA
" A, d- T, m# T1 F  i, r 2661
+ l& V% G& h% @9 y2 d 1011
5 s5 q. G- W3 T) V" P5 G 442,817
409,000
328
22
38%

# \1 j) j  c7 }May 2007
NA
2288
% v$ e- b5 D) {+ [ 1261
. ~3 B0 k% t$ t; S. Y 451,216
415,000
+ ~& w/ S) @; |" Y& A, f) z+ o* ]$ _ 322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
, U; e( H% N0 U2 L这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

5 G. {: l" d7 j用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
' ]8 P8 |5 N. p( M# Z2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
  z2 s) ~5 S0 }) b3 M存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
( E) t9 ^$ L6 x鉴定完毕！

- V+ T" @: |( ?( _& a呵呵，太不专业了吧。
. k, B# c) s* n
' ~$ N/ G5 x/ e- S新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

( |! \$ T$ g- N/ O, e就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

* q, i6 p/ |2 B4 {. [1 W& I: X. F这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

) p. N( r7 S7 |2 A$ S/ i9 ~, i

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
1 W: _. z& @  ^Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
7 F3 s  O; V: D9 Z1 r" QIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

; [. k# S% e) ]  t! z
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
- s3 W+ a4 ]% r4 i3 Q  ^, p) X! W" v( REdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
4 _2 l( ]: l0 _. G' A6 `) UNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

* x9 {8 H  o5 f- a7 eQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表

* V1 z8 ~- F! X6 c
: ]3 Z) s' ?: A" i8 |7 z5 {3 JI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

  g1 M* \( }  k/ b, M

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
* a2 ?) I+ Z9 R4 E/ ]1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
" r+ ]) ~7 m& d0 O2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
& U9 D, d  n" M6 B9 K' C2 X, X3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
( g: x# F* {# U7 d7 t6 x( m% `

- B% u  z1 t/ t2 {- d5 U+ }6 ]3 h
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。