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本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-11-3 21:39 编辑 2 }: h! r$ x6 ^( ~$ k
0 u7 i1 |( N, l0 A2 XThe US dollar was under pressure following a slightly more aggressive QE than the markets had anticipated. The Federal Reserve announced they will purchase an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next 8 months which comes out to about $75 billion per month. This is compared to forecasts of $500 billion over 6 months and is in addition to the roughly $35 billion per month in reinvestment purchases.
+ Q( e0 ~8 e- C7 \" ?0 Q7 R嘿嘿……美国准备印很多很多的钱，不过这个预期已经被PRICE IN了1个多月了。
. @0 O3 p2 H- Q; t- \现在股市标普为例面临1210-1220之间的阻力。
# r- u: r+ `! P, H0 g3 d参见我9月1号的帖子：http://www.edmontonchina.ca/view ... &extra=page%3D21 P ~: b; t$ t
从大势上看，突破是迟早的事情，但是我们应该注意一下市场今天都告诉了我们什么。
5 q/ U- U/ W+ |今天的市场风险资产以黄金为例，经历了大起大落。在消息出来之前，黄金自由落体般下跌了30块。而消息是more aggressive，但是黄金未能创出新高。
$ ^% w y; ]8 R+ C; g, y0 y今天早些时候出来的数据：
. m1 ?% W$ |7 j$ t5 t( wEconomic data released earlier showed ADP employment was much better than the expected +20K with a print of +43K for October up from the prior month’s -2K (revised higher from -39K). September factory orders surprised to the upside rising by more than the forecast of +1.6% climbing +2.1% from the prior 0.0 and the October ISM non-manufacturing index advanced to 54.3 (cons. 53.5 prior 53.2). The ISM Chairman mentioned that the ‘slow growth’ indicated by the report is more sustainable than a fast pickup. + P/ D f1 E4 U
股市在这些数据的配合下，仅仅小涨。
2 }9 o% j: }' c* U$ Z种种迹象都证明风险资产的上涨长期看还有大幅空间。1 T. {+ v: T$ ?" g/ A5 Z& ]) w# ^
短期看，OVERDONE。
: r9 V u1 }7 n4 h所以关注标普1210-1220的阻力位置。$ y, }# k, U i) k, G* b" N2 o
- x& K. }1 E7 x9 m至于黄金，很清楚的3浪调整走势，目前是第三浪开始不久，不过不能越过1366。
! ]6 L o8 e, U! h! W因此可以考虑在1256.50卖出黄金，止损1267。目标大概1280-1285之间。图不知道为什么不能下载，抱歉。 |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2010-11-3 20:37
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楼主
发表于 2010-11-3 21:02
发表于 2010-11-3 23:35
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