Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
% Q0 z2 o% C  T  G4 r5 UMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
5 s8 K) k' u  L' M6 J1 yIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
- ?0 ?( _0 m8 ?9 F7 z6 J0 p/ YNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
. q) L8 R  }. ^# X8 }0 M: z
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

$ |) m' O) s. u3 v- e8 qSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
* }% ?, s* P& \2 I# k8 S
: J  B$ p( Z' M3 |Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
5 j+ [! t: W1 z
Jul 2007
NA
5 c6 @4 T6 G, C4 O0 u" S 2328
717
/ ]: X  a" [' d  Y 442,752
410,000
320
28
- L$ h/ H$ h, o2 H6 f 31%
  S; q# {; t. v& j
- D4 L- T! g- h7 uJun 2007
- _; _; D; u) z# F' c NA
* k) \3 \( I, C( | 2661
9 r( x, V4 h" O6 e) s6 `- R2 ` 1011
442,817
409,000
328
22
38%

May 2007
NA
8 \) x8 b5 o" }" R2 ~ 2288
9 ~0 L3 V( P( L; h 1261
451,216
) E3 p: {; o. e* H 415,000
322
2 h( Z& V0 G/ D( P- `; b" i$ X8 S 19
6 }3 X2 N5 `; V, w 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
3 {: Q4 J3 L& A0 H- B鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

. T5 m: i) o/ X/ Y, Q$ \: e9 a2 }+ J用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。
/ @/ B- W8 B5 E. @
新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

9 _$ a  C9 y7 V6 d- R8 C这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
; @9 J9 h# N0 E$ WDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
0 `  a9 g- o- m5 @7 ?. wThat is what i say half full or half empty.
/ \2 w# _3 l, U6 F1 |+ ugood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
3 w1 f) c* w& x& \$ fIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
: y7 m; S9 V( G* ~# sHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

5 F  G5 C; {- A% N) q$ E
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
( U* w$ [" W( }4 @1 E! v7 i+ \MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
& c. V: m0 j# }# r9 c" lIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
( X! G! ?5 v& \- p6 n& INote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

6 N8 G5 Z# h8 n# |  oQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

8 d3 r+ e+ c; g' d# r

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

# E& o( |5 T# H+ ]' v, w6 n2 o下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
5 w" s* L* F6 e  ?) a" \

' w: [2 q* r, \
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
& e( C4 O8 T' S3 ~看来，观察days inventory 更重要。