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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.# b: t' a" m0 ?5 m, r
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
$ {' ]- a- r, [ a% C$ d! z' Y3 }If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
* |: [* D9 A( w- fTD can give you 4.2%.
/ l8 I b8 f9 K/ n6 y9 GBMO can give you 4.3%." s" c: V% Z0 K) E
RBC can give you 4.0%.7 {+ z; O; s4 p: O; L e/ r
(Roughly)
+ S/ m1 b' S# M- Y% [0 NIf the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.
( B1 j$ j$ P0 ZAlso, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
1 ?6 f! k5 m, g: _" KAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.3 u% r7 ]1 b, U2 M
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.( M( O+ _0 r$ Y
Rough calculation:
/ r6 f" S' g3 }+ g1 T- X( xRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
I e: E. V4 }) g* QBuy 10000 US cost you 1050004 X* q+ h; A3 s! d
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 1040004 ^7 S% z1 @* `: }5 ^6 S
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
8 j. ?# Y D7 h' f4 A2 U: Y, ]If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
/ n# p' k' `9 f8 j @2 kI am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
: L( E' {( _( I7 v6 o$ PBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.. S) |, w+ k8 s# E5 V
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2007-9-16 10:59
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