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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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7 }) o; m z) COTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
, K) L% d0 F0 t5 Mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" v( L6 {4 `. }" \9 N" _raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal' o3 Z$ q. g7 A& T7 j. `
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.( h. [; R3 y' E
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) A$ n/ {& O' e2 B$ O5 u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! m3 G6 b7 y7 sUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness5 Z* I8 x# G# H6 n9 r: X
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 B2 L+ f$ T# j, G( _# |In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 t. R6 C0 B, O- l, _8 ?stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the% d j) c* r! N) ?
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result: w! C+ b' h, q5 Z: I
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 V5 ^2 b1 I* q1 u, [
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; ^: z3 j% h3 Q- ?9 X; Jspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity" }- _) L7 s" c/ B
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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9 d9 N7 j1 v$ z5 F4 YActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! n7 s( ^: S9 o# W2 S! n. j4 gin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
, s3 [# k$ h- L' E. ]- @) ^Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% x% q6 Q+ q1 ]& c2 U% e" t9 \0 D
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more# O" y, e- |5 ~& @/ O- ~6 p
balanced recovery.2 z( \& ~' N0 p5 `, F/ u1 R1 J; }+ }4 |
0 J4 ^' i2 ?/ y, J4 J. {CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, b# c5 M7 W, {4 s# P8 F0 ~
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
; k% G4 |7 `) K9 k+ Nsupply.6 ~% U5 H4 C, h5 [2 b4 e
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
' N( o1 {: h% e4 f: [ Nto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 J4 D$ z; K( Q3 ^0 Bmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the % I2 s" `5 q6 Q# b2 ]* J
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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8 w1 U# y! {! x$ n G9 h& A" t$ IGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ |+ E' C5 D: l% S! A6 X+ R
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ C+ D: K& _9 w
developments.
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" g3 w! A. Y5 I. iInformation note:
! {# a5 y% w2 q7 L j, D- \The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. W( D# O- @7 `3 `
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
. f3 R; o4 W1 l0 ^, k% \/ Rpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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