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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* t8 {5 |2 g" d( m+ v3 n! }
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" {3 N! q% C$ A. B+ n) C% ^rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( S5 R: ?0 |8 L) }( r" X Q( nraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 V* j* n& u' C" \$ moperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& D v( ]4 K- Y$ w! U& `
8 B0 [& {9 }% EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( l7 X; |: P' W. y5 D1 D; K( P
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the: j1 `6 S, _' ]5 F3 I7 w, g+ k: |
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ R+ m) i' F. O8 u! x, _4 O
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.5 j# \: b1 W; l( w
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 N' o' a; E/ q/ i4 x7 H6 @- M. _stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% I1 ]1 q* k: m* p" ~variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; F# I" a$ k* M# Y1 A4 k6 vin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
$ ~( w# v8 d1 t0 b1 Y* b, l5 nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the- J7 M G. I2 c, j, g
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 s ^' Q; Y8 Pprices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 n" g, X1 b" Z* u: E
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& n) }' G6 x6 ]% z- I$ M3 ~in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
, B! j% D$ g8 c! r2 t9 Q& Z+ K; w2 Q# X- W; FGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with8 a) b& X# I: m( ^! A1 g
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more3 _9 q9 X5 ?2 B; n Y: l) c. ]2 O
balanced recovery.
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$ J* C6 N; v! p8 _7 ~' L! aCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 E9 L* r/ i) D
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# |. h' P% \+ y" J! w
supply.1 h* ]1 A% P1 i# Z* ]; P7 I
" o; d# \0 U% _ p* a8 CIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
3 [, s7 k: Y9 b8 gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : e' |1 y7 C4 O% e
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # ]& V% A+ i# u
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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* i+ ]: Q. m. h. s% f zGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary; Y# {% c8 h" P3 a! e4 w+ b n
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic% x5 n% `* Y7 {- ]5 h4 E
developments." k7 W0 w% e3 c7 d8 ~' q1 G
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Information note:* E2 b6 F A8 W& K% @; I% v
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update2 j& q% J8 ]( w* Z: X
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 z+ D* c3 C) F/ i7 hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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