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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. / G. g, R0 z7 A5 o7 [8 p L
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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4 N, \" z4 E% k: w' ~# O2 zThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.- d2 v: o, V; x% M. q6 q8 m
9 }5 R+ Q; W: d1 E9 E' E' D$ O"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. ; | C, ?2 t+ e. w# {. U
, v3 n0 G! l F& I0 g4 @) v; t) sHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 2 p1 I0 L1 ]" _ t% e5 S7 B# u
9 Q' o+ {) u1 m' B8 M# R6 BThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.- }. }& ?' K5 } B' ?+ Y
' P$ n5 I R3 O9 W6 sCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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