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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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' G: ^ P6 p0 j, ` QThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 9 q' q- Q, {7 i% g* ~
! h' r8 W ~7 o5 J0 j4 {) `The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. + O; z" a$ w9 M, f$ Y
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.4 @/ M( K2 U# W/ k/ k
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.6 q6 c. n$ V; K0 `
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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8 h+ e4 X' A* G" I# m4 PIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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+ q# I4 O+ d4 k# N8 g0 t& I& E4 SThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.6 O: v3 O ]$ i9 ?5 A; `. E" I
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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