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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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& I) y5 d E2 aThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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0 a" o: r" `9 V1 v5 ? xThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. + L6 p) E4 R, j6 h4 W0 x, a" w0 T
1 R* j2 y' P( ~9 Z+ ZNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.7 s' K! F! U: `+ b
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700." z2 ]* T% f$ o' D
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 9 u0 G7 H" Z; i5 g2 H) n* ?& B
; Q$ G; [5 S. V. b9 @, uHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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6 d2 K0 W! t* Z- \) XIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.% u; t" O- S' l. O! c
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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