 鲜花( 7)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 3 j/ D- d3 |& [$ x+ b; V* c
. Q$ v2 z% t! O% B, bThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
P7 z" o' G5 K& l2 F/ K+ i% P! T6 U+ |* M+ L9 I& v. E% l9 k
The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
' i! C1 L% g6 W. V4 d; L3 B5 K' M3 f7 ?3 Q8 s
Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.7 ~+ N+ j" G5 Y; W- L
: y% Y& o, k! u5 Q4 J; r
It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
* [, I2 \1 G$ o% _$ _ o* R& r! M$ b" {* d% z1 t8 |- s
"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. * F+ X- \% n+ B& b. q# ^
2 G9 U8 |7 p3 \3 I, j( HHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." & N! H g2 ^. E
6 o9 P' l2 S. b1 B6 N- j1 D% R
It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
* w& v7 {7 n# X, p; i0 f) `: s# O+ \3 B
The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
& m4 R& D7 f! U1 J/ a) v$ U9 s6 B, M" k# Z
The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.6 t2 h3 K+ |0 o; m, i! k/ T6 N
# W# S$ ]0 E1 F) h) e2 [- P
CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
|