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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. $ t: n% f* C6 Q5 T
& c( U- x( X; i) S! `, ~The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 0 N/ L& {3 ~0 e4 a* E
% W4 F4 L% k) ]The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 2 A! l. i/ t( s
6 Q% R3 f' Y* t4 ]Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. % ~+ Y* o' V' Y- P
( F3 [, u/ t, Z/ S4 zHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. / D: H: ?9 J' n4 y# g! l: L: @
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 4 E! s& V; @7 F/ e% T* c
3 J9 A" s% Q5 e( b" XThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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