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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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$ ~2 z+ p' V$ c8 xThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. + w3 I& _ z8 \6 o
g) D! i( H- a! O, H) O6 J7 aThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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# }, E# @3 C/ I( @, B9 W6 d+ x2 aIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.+ _6 V7 @. g) ]& h
& L: |; h; O' S5 y. D8 I. @"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. # R0 ~9 \/ ]8 v2 r& D/ W
* _+ G; R$ x G4 N) w2 O" hHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." " }% v: L& N; K% T7 U5 w% f4 q# c
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. I) `- }! r W$ V* n
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. , L. m+ b! o* g# s! y; K3 K8 x& v
! t* C1 U3 t9 x8 ]) tThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.3 m2 K- u% p; U( h
. A- d F+ n, x/ X2 [; C! [CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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