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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.& D2 I) \' \, C0 ]5 Q+ q8 Y+ M: H* b+ ~
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
! b/ p* t- Y, @( Q# a; e; DIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.$ P+ p0 e- K, e- L0 `
TD can give you 4.2%.3 A" P) [3 u( g4 r8 X- T
BMO can give you 4.3%." f `9 [% Q, |& U! A* y
RBC can give you 4.0%.
6 w* D: U, T. c1 g3 A: U(Roughly)
# \' E& v1 e! u) LIf the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.6 m( K j% y5 Y' f
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
6 L: H+ ^$ N0 W4 {! p/ C* ^7 MAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.# a; F* S* b( W8 e6 O2 C% ^3 q
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.1 L2 c" h! U8 o2 ^) }
Rough calculation:" X# K% ?5 j2 Q+ D3 f
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03: k0 V' Y3 K1 k( l9 }' c
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
w" u/ o- g( }7 e4 `5 r# uDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
" g% C& w! z5 r- c; r/ s' TIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
) c2 k( b2 j3 y9 B/ ^7 y/ a/ r+ RIf US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.( K) m0 J6 i% L N$ D9 z* F/ i" Q* E
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.7 E6 _& I/ V' P. T' Q
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2007-9-16 10:59
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