埃德蒙顿华人社区-Edmonton China

 找回密码
 注册
查看: 2702|回复: 6

REIN August news letter

[复制链接]
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2006-8-25 08:35 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...0 D% M& O+ N2 \# C, |

$ N/ R# z  |! Q* V6 J
* }6 z) E+ X! C, h8 v9 ~The New Housing Price Index, has just been released and it provides some very
5 Z  f' B5 f. W4 Ninteresting insights, not only into where the market has moved, but where it
4 ?1 A1 m" ?( n( I$ ]6 u' `will be going.
, v% p; ^0 |5 L& u3 p7 m
8 R6 C# i0 O$ hIt proved, once again, the value of looking at fundamentals behind a market.
9 _# b( S0 S- M  C& ~% ]6 ~. S+ j& p2 _* m- H( M0 ^+ I- l3 Z
The New Housing Price Index is compiled by Statistics Canada and is used by# r8 M7 ~& ~, z/ Y+ I" W% D% c$ D
sophisticated investors to see how much the market has moved, as well as an4 _) X( L  Y8 ^" Q
indicator of where re-sale home prices will be moving in the coming six months. " K( Z( k" R0 G; r: p* ~! ?
We look at the ripple effect that new housing prices have on re-sale property
9 t% I: Q" L8 o: m  @values and can extrapolate what direction re-sale prices will be moving and by
* w4 P6 V' @1 T- \# yhow much.
" K- ]1 o, d" \# j$ u% k' r6 l8 a$ K: d) I
For instance, for the last three years, we have told investors to avoid Windsor,$ {% J1 H  U4 @: M5 D
Ontario as an investment area because the underlying fundamentals are not very: |! ?  S% Z0 k' H5 c/ B6 `+ m
strong.  This has been proven once again with the release of the latest+ t; X3 _5 Y5 \9 p
findings.  New Housing Prices have actually decreased by .5% during June 2005 -
0 `3 z4 a( M+ e, nJune 2006 proving that fundamental investing works in helping you pick the best9 [- t: b2 ?6 I& O$ A% G" T1 k
markets and avoid the flat ones.   This .5% decrease should have little impact
  U) c! }: B% U5 L6 Non average re-sale values in the Windsor region.( a. V) W! i& o9 x

" ]# ?6 [7 A6 u8 F; V3 P7 k$ L; ZTo contrast this, the fundamentals we discuss are so strong in Calgary that the
1 w; D2 \  W1 C% A; qmarket continues to be super heated.  With close to 3,000 net new people into
  W- E1 l9 p6 dthe city every month, the property market just can't keep up.  That is why we
# e1 a$ b2 P0 Rsaw the New Housing Price Index increase by 49.2% (June 2005 to June 2006). ! H3 G0 m/ O9 f# j% s; z, b- }
This is great news for the future of re-sale values in the city as these
& x5 C$ t5 y. L; \  x# q6 t1 Nincreases will continue to ripple out into the market for at least the next six
: s# q4 C7 p7 omonths.  
/ K* t/ j3 D/ t
6 i7 T$ @' q- r/ s1 G  KComparing these two regions is a great illustration of the value of not getting( Q, J/ w5 p. D& M2 E/ |; D
caught in the 'emotional guessing game' by just focusing on the underlying
; ]/ v/ u! P* s" y! n5 yfundamentals.   It is sad to see those people who said in the last 2 years that
- c% B+ Y4 A1 p/ `, j9 j/ Kthe Alberta real estate market was over and they were going to sit back and wait
& u1 e: V) |$ c8 Funtil it drops.  Quite obviously, they have missed out on AMAZING gains, all/ w' N: @! G5 m
because they didn't follow fundamentals, they just led with their emotions.) u$ {  U( s, U2 z" s& \- s! K

% R" z' w, o3 i$ }6 ^By the way, Edmonton's New Housing Price Index is up an amazing 28% so far (June! I3 h4 ?% @/ T: ~
2005 to June 2006), also great news.
& k$ G& r* n/ Y0 f5 }7 [; ]) b* y+ X# y6 C
By comparison across the country, these are the numbers for June 2005 - June
" F/ Z" P) V; F) ]! \2006 New Housing Price Index for:
8 v) Y( a! V1 d& c
4 u1 ?: C2 }. Z( qVancouver . . . . . . . .   +5.2%
. W. @6 d7 v0 E8 l+ u0 DSaskatoon . . . . . . . .  +8.5%
$ t% G4 ?& D' QLondon . . . . . . . . . . .  +3.0%6 b6 W: r) W* @# N
Hamilton . . . . . . . . . .  +4.9%2 F2 r9 F7 W( _6 _3 Y
St. Catharines - Niagara . . . . +4.9%
2 L8 C9 |1 y* z; e' vToronto and Oshawa . . . . . . . +3.2
9 `" Q, T% k, W4 n) KOttawa - Gatineau . . . . . . . . .  +3.1%
' r/ x" [& e4 P  ~- k4 o9 n; W0 T: d$ t1 K8 Q
Fundamental investing ALWAYS makes you look like a genius - emotional investing
) e/ A2 [0 J7 ?gives you quick highs, but also quick lows.  Well done on your focus!
6 D. y( J7 e2 {; Z: ^
: L+ ]0 c+ u0 {, ^: O5 sAs the fundamentals have been showing all along, the Alberta market continues to4 L  B* b, |, M" {
be strong, as in-migration and job creation continues to attract people from not1 Z. l0 `) c" {! v8 _' h. }/ ]# W
only across Canada, but from around the world.  Our average wages are
9 J# o5 t' p& s3 nincreasing, our population is increasing, our unemployment rate continues to
4 }9 b$ {/ ?7 o8 B$ }3 cdrop and our GDP growth is slated to once again lead the country.* m; x: C* P4 Z6 o8 _

+ n, a# c9 C% {9 _9 }Here are some very interesting facts that are helping to support the strong7 J; ?/ U4 m# ?3 ?
fundamentals:9 q7 b% y' g6 X+ ^; h) ?: ]

9 V- c" r8 C! }5 z3 Z1. The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting strong economic growth in% V0 k: _) S- H/ H. ]
Canada, with Alberta once again leading the way.  In fact, the projected growth4 K3 M  t9 \8 `$ r. W2 u' }. q8 q! ~9 _
for Alberta's economy is a staggering 6.6%.  (BC + 3.6%, Ontario + 2.5%), and" t9 x; x3 g4 M. ]2 t; f0 q  k
this is slated to occur even with the labour shortages we are witnessing.
4 t( ?5 B9 q9 C% ]$ x6 d- l
3 x, T$ n( A# q& P2.  People are discovering Canada as an investment center from all over the
9 Y6 o" p" b4 L: J1 C% x: Vworld.  Recently, there have been investors coming here from Asia, Australia,
) \- n9 Y, ^7 X* F9 Ithe US, UK and Europe.  In fact, if you review the world's press you will see$ w1 v# r) @$ m/ v' C' }% H
that Canada (with a focus on Alberta) is being discussed more frequently.
& {6 S* s; W" x2 c4 c* e; v- t2 |% Z8 F3 `( k+ U$ \7 R- [& p
3.  Don Campbell has just returned from presenting our Canadian investment7 X# q9 d2 _6 f2 |. Z4 V3 A
atmosphere (including Why Alberta - Why Now") to a group of major investors in: f8 {% [6 p; _& e+ N, v
Dublin, Ireland, and the response was overwhelmingly positive.  In fact, after
# W3 ~2 P& x* I1 [5 M" j. G+ tDon presented the economic facts, many of these investors (who could invest
+ X# r/ N+ A# [anywhere in the world) have already booked their flights to here.  Once again
( J8 y  N$ @" V' |! }" dproving that when the true numbers of our economy are presented (along with the3 @: h; K( z3 I/ g. P
political stability of our country), there is no place in the world that can$ i- C9 i+ p, w& z0 [
beat it for long term investment.5 S! v4 X5 P/ k- H
/ g3 O" C4 Y% v
4.  Job creation continues to be strong (with a small lull in June); definitely
( p8 F+ X5 c+ p6 ?- wa sign of strong long-term fundamentals.  RBC has also been following the job0 Q( A9 m* H- w& c5 @
creation situation and here is what they are saying: (www.rbc.com/economics)0 X0 e& [/ M3 S: h6 P5 S) g- N
"After generating a substantial 96,700 jobs in May, the largest such gain since
: f6 O% _+ _" k: A/ @% {' t( TJanuary 2002, the economy lost a modest 4,600 jobs in June...
9 `. |6 }$ n- [/ X1 |
5 E# w. C) ]8 _/ O. AStrength in the Canadian economy contributed to a gain of 215,600 jobs in the
) F3 v9 m6 f, p6 K" hfirst half of 2006, a feat not matched since the second half of 2002.  With the
- o" T+ t/ ^) F: }  ieconomy widely expected to grow at a more moderate pace in the second half of
) u( ^4 a1 G" _/ j* z/ ~the year on the back of slowing trade activity, this impressive showing may not
3 f  E( b* y4 k6 s) Z0 `repeat itself.  We expect that employment grew in July at a pace consistent with" A1 ^! `) a+ t( ]+ T$ N7 b1 `
its recent trend of 24,000 jobs a month. Assuming that the labour force grew at
' m! v+ I- \; Xits trend rate, a gain of 24,000 jobs will lead to a national unemployment rate
; m5 S- [6 C6 ^2 G7 }: ]& S0 yof 6.1%."  Overall very good news.  Now the key is to ensure that the region in9 U3 ^2 ^6 s8 C" \
which you are investing is continuing to generate jobs and increasing incomes.8 \7 X) Y9 l# Z/ p* N8 F
( M7 _5 Y: A$ K6 r) c. z9 i
4 s+ v9 `% f9 S
In other words, it is a great time to be taking advantage of this strong1 c9 f. g/ q! R( m9 m
economy, avoiding 'excuses' and to especially not listen to the uninformed1 L( d7 m% M# i' P
'dream stealers.'  As long as you stick with your game plan, you continue to do: b) h5 B: o) @1 c+ w. o0 e
your due diligence, and you remove emotions from the equation, you will see the" R5 s4 |, r' J3 e, f
opportunities that are right in front of you, right here in Alberta.  Let the6 W  i/ L) U( C6 K
'dream stealers' call you 'lucky' 5 years from now as your net worth has soared
- c; k; e" m$ x" L0 q( U( gand your financial freedom has surpassed even your wildest expectations.
8 l  C2 K8 I' q- x7 L/ z1 A: m
6 i7 G4 y6 c& O. c% f6 b: E ; H: `! }) ~, N& {$ i: d
Capital Gains Comparison.
1 s- r9 D" v" S' U3 z' }' k6 J( X5 j, i9 V8 V9 X
KPMG has recently released a comparison of the true Top Federal and Provincial) J  K2 `6 G9 K6 F
Marginal Capital Gains Tax Rates per province.  It is very interesting to see
( V( h0 s% W' O) p) U: whow these will affect your exit strategy.  Here are the numbers:" I, e2 H9 V# t, }+ t+ e
5 |  v8 O  a) `
BC . . . . . . . .  21.9%/ D) |. |3 Y% A6 r; l5 F% V
AB . . . . . . . .  19.5%$ |  V2 T% S2 {$ A
SK . . . . . . . .  22.0%
. N0 E* f( s$ }" gMB . . . . . . . .  23.2%
* E# E1 u' d3 j5 l4 t( f+ F3 T  HON . . . . . . . .  23.2%
3 t1 g& i& p. A$ F' p6 k# a( QQC . . . . . . . .  24.1%6 z9 n. y9 A# @& t$ j3 ~/ z
NB . . . . . . . .  23.4%* _9 h7 N( g0 v
NS . . . . . . . .  24.1%5 k6 i) n' v$ ~) [; z$ O% A& o3 `
PE . . . . . . . .  23.7%
' l, l: O# m9 ?( [6 ^NF . . . . . . . .  24.3%# s$ g. q# f2 F# L9 l  ^3 N& H. L0 O) Z

* v3 k9 R: Q6 }0 E3 k( aLower capital gains tax increases investment and stimulates the long term
- z4 _; s+ J2 Z- `0 `8 S( deconomy of the province.  It also allows real estate investors to keep more of& U( L! l/ i* t% v0 \9 T* B1 ~, {
their profits at exit time.  Always a good number to pay attention to.
2 k6 d/ P) r3 V$ A2 E: f$ h) c: c4 m: R

5 p* m4 j, ?# d1 O: u4 q* * * * * *: U% m: p8 R: ?6 P+ n
; v1 j$ m$ Q, [* J: @
Overall, by staying focused for the next short period of time, you have the
& h  h5 }$ F4 R: H, `& hopportunity to create financial freedom of which others can only dream.  Of, w! [, R" t$ V
course, the key word is focus.  And with an August line-up of 'Members Only'5 H  i) M7 L# ]( Q5 i
events like this, you can't help to become a real estate investment champion" z7 e( {4 ^: q4 T6 f. B( z
when you take action as a full REIN Member.
: a; U. G9 {( q  k6 I# w3 l
: P, t* ~+ M1 q( wFocus on the fundamentals, keep emotions out of your decisions, and enjoy the2 P' b) q  h1 Q# _, Q
results in just a few short years.
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2006-8-25 09:26 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 屯民 于 2006-8-25 08:35 发表
+ O+ L5 V4 E! B6 mNEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...8 H; h' M" [  ?* v

; {* A4 a9 Q! N, O
  [; M% ~7 t8 j+ a3 K/ p6 zThe New Housing Price Index, has just been released and it provides some very
% U5 {5 a: x- w! Q% winteresting insights, not only into where the market has moved, but where it9 b% D3 ^& h1 n8 |6 I
will be  ...
- J3 s- C5 S: }9 v
# q* l' }, m, a& s2 U
谢谢分享,你买了他们的membership吗?可以给我多发点文章吗?如果值得我也想加入。
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
 楼主| 发表于 2006-8-25 10:45 | 显示全部楼层
Yes, I am member.  Below is an old one but I think it is very good.
( W/ S5 Y# G& z( o
4 _3 H3 ]2 a1 T9 C7 v9 uhttp://www.albertarein.com/insid ... le&articleid=49
2 G" G7 y- z& v+ v& O- W  d8 P- V) y! w3 C
You can also go to their web site to get more info. Here is the link.
6 d8 A, T6 g0 D: b$ {+ f( b( h" F* C9 W# o! g+ Q6 B" C
http://www.albertarein.com/index.asp
鲜花(86) 鸡蛋(3)
发表于 2006-8-25 11:17 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
嘿,炒访团来了哈!
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
 楼主| 发表于 2006-8-25 11:27 | 显示全部楼层
You are one of the biggest 炒家 I knew.
鲜花(437) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2006-8-25 12:00 | 显示全部楼层
很象国内的股评.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(3)
发表于 2006-8-25 18:21 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
看吧,每个月才3000人,一年人口才增加4万人,仅仅占全市总人口的4%,房子半年涨了50%,这就是我说的房价水分(虚涨)。所以,降价是谁也挡不住的。4 k5 a# E/ Y; \. b6 d6 d1 u, q

8 v- j; q) V: {. p***醉酒认为,合理房价上涨=4%/年(人口)+8%/年(自然增长)+10%(经济前景)=22%/年就够多了。所以炒作因素引起增长 = 45%-22% = 23%,所以,降价空间很大,等等吧****
1 S9 i. g/ Y1 r; n8 f4 q& ?( f4 W
* o' g( x9 M* U  c: G3 h
原帖由 屯民 于 2006-8-25 08:35 发表% I0 z7 {% i/ Y, N1 e% B4 U2 w6 b
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...  c4 ~1 C6 _" j: d4 C
0 n4 |2 _8 A3 U" y7 a7 \/ n/ o

: Q) _  q. j3 ~$ p+ j/ w# \With close to 3,000 net new people into
' u) h+ Z( z: Z+ W7 i1 C! m& tthe city every month, the property market just can't keep up.  That is why we
! L6 z! T2 Q! }' m2 l3 [/ Y- }saw the New Housing Price Index ...
* ^) ?; W  N% R2 Y
[ 本帖最后由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-8-25 18:44 编辑 ]
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

联系我们|小黑屋|手机版|Archiver|埃德蒙顿中文网

GMT-7, 2026-8-14 14:29 , Processed in 0.203358 second(s), 18 queries , Gzip On, APC On.

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

Copyright © 2001-2021, Tencent Cloud.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表