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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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* K$ u1 G7 D- aEric Bushell* a, r9 T9 M9 ?4 r" b/ u# Y
Senior Vice-President,
0 E# j! h5 Y! D, `1 C' zPortfolio Management
7 G0 {& ?! }8 w+ u2 {4 Oand Chief Investment Officer% y& F, z7 I* h5 B
; o6 o6 j9 e3 a; v+ r L0 Y自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。) l2 `9 s1 c( q* z) y
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
$ L7 {, `$ g8 d0 S2 s1 {may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
, M2 z$ x! k) {! i$ `4 l$ `ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the& h$ z) w L' Y/ h& L- A7 \
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
" Y R* P$ u/ |8 E0 o) `phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an/ t7 ^9 o- [2 a$ @' x3 |
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
1 H+ i8 N, N0 h/ v9 O& b2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
' R2 \; z3 m* o; ]- ]for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit* z+ ?0 J K5 g: T( x; d4 q# J
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects; w! I( |* C5 [0 \3 R+ D
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through z2 r+ x' h j. u$ k& q5 ?
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond: k) u, D1 V* b4 q: J/ L. H5 E
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened T$ x5 P! ]1 y' g0 Q
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more% `8 L* `! S+ x1 u
neutral risk positioning. |
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