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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- }7 e3 c2 G: y. V: S; K- Y
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 y! T# ]$ U$ b9 S' Erate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; `3 H9 w. R; \; G9 n3 M7 M5 l( Zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: I/ h& U; m0 boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* J0 D! a% ~6 X) U d
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 N, q1 q7 I" y. T5 D9 O
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) N& Z8 g9 @" S$ ~; K; @7 ^, zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.2 A$ A4 Q; l/ Q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" ^ I1 Z& Z7 k% N3 G$ k
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ Z4 f- {2 G. t4 Yvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! t0 E2 f' U& `' Q0 m8 v3 Pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ J; B! a+ \6 cimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) ~% H( o9 d1 r, m! `+ {( tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 L9 v, J0 @& @6 Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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7 t8 \; |+ t5 B" x3 HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent$ {- J' K* E1 W. A
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.9 b+ ^' O0 K1 L! Y, e* [ p
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; V ]( i5 G* c, B; x7 c$ w7 z8 T2 G
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 W$ I6 q( p0 J7 s* Y3 ?. k; n
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects3 Q1 L4 @8 D3 n0 y9 H
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. Z4 K! ]3 R: z# ]0 p* t+ g
supply.
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+ ?3 ^7 f! ?5 f) I$ l+ IIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ D8 r$ z; K+ U1 w0 {: [/ K& l; |$ Pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
i2 M* e9 e7 ?! E2 F' a7 J+ D" vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) J& M7 H% f' V: b- a5 W3 u% |! ~" [
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 r/ m( p/ @% n9 t# I" Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 }0 h V$ Z! E* m% R: p- w! l! c8 e1 Qdevelopments.
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Information note:8 r* w+ V; G; I: s8 E5 ]1 T! Y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update5 a: Z( d# ]+ D4 d9 v9 S$ b5 U
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
6 c- Q! L) K; \# Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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