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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; K8 X( O$ j6 ]0 v
) Y' K8 {/ d5 w* N* }OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& Y. w% g( ^* Y H+ m! trate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
* E. f* H2 E7 r) z* a+ fraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) X1 a- c" S. y+ T& U$ W3 qoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. E) a/ {* e; D: [* V: |# x
( J0 o! ^ D( `' K8 Y) _$ p' y+ tThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: I) ~' L. \/ V# M; ?- y; ~
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the: T3 k* \, H) E
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
# F: A+ S1 [' C& f+ X+ [5 M5 nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 w8 ?9 m" N0 Y+ s6 _5 ]In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 \* i# ]) [+ b8 {
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# g- D' f3 z7 n- _
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
S4 L' d2 ~0 y' nin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; _8 o: Y* G2 e( X7 C/ E
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the/ |( B7 ?9 v8 J. r
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- |. M: E: K3 R
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.% t; m1 L \. {4 v
; w3 v! F* k: WActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
5 x/ x2 j4 J/ y7 G; x8 d1 j7 ]in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& m8 ^! X+ `$ Z+ k
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- p! Q. L. N; h& Yincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
1 G( P6 n$ a5 ~2 P4 U% x+ fbalanced recovery.
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: p$ r$ T" N9 W* f6 Y, g2 M3 bCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; \6 `; {6 b2 x3 Kthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 ?$ X ^# O- E. b! ?) I- lsupply.
, Q9 Q9 ^, S/ Z$ Y( ~' C3 M% h
_7 ]4 i0 y) D2 z* U# OIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# C! e2 Z3 P S9 _( mto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, K7 E! Q+ A6 N8 ^+ H* cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 x7 ? e* w' F" } Rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
! y& J. j+ S( C# `3 k3 W2 z/ ? G7 n( [9 q$ j
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 N( k' X3 e3 S; A- p9 x1 I/ v, l- estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 O( @- F; X( I' t0 ?* }
developments.
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) y8 m9 R9 u+ \1 y4 Z' V. Y1 Z2 FInformation note:6 b- G8 a) s+ [! A' S$ u4 e/ G
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. @' p$ f) e% i; k3 f- ?; ~
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 ^; _+ a8 J, p: X2 Cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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