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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market5 ?5 F, ]9 c0 T3 k8 `* d) C
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 G1 n5 ?, S$ l. y( R7 Prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 `( D, t# V# [ {; C3 L
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
5 e' L- x8 b5 K7 T& o: Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 ~9 c# O" Y$ b& h! B% f0 L
0 P, K0 I3 O' W! ?7 A' p" cThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( b$ r& v0 d9 k/ {. x' Y# g+ b; J: estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the) u6 O8 ]2 C. g, B- g& B
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ C* I) X7 s2 A, v7 J& [in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.8 N; k. _$ N# c2 }9 c9 Q. X, w# G
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 } \4 x0 D3 K( ^stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' t" w! W. S' c$ G2 ^% G( r4 rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 r: e1 x4 \( t1 |0 \* \- _4 J
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# g* l1 g+ q/ g; I" ^* ^7 T
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& ^( I5 t% d5 |9 L2 I
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
6 o1 B; D' Z6 p% d2 W% d2 y' h5 Uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ z3 C$ I0 f- ^( C8 `! o
" ^7 {$ Z3 Q4 x) E, h' O$ OActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 ?# z9 C8 G. }1 ?) A" U1 D& G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 X8 j+ t! g' W$ r( P, N
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; B. ]6 I4 I0 L. ^( ~1 V+ f
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
% V6 v" O; Q6 Wbalanced recovery.# ?- A! j/ z5 X( Z! c
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
& D& H G/ s1 d: fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
3 p1 s) U) @) u6 nsupply." b* u0 D+ w. D7 w; @: E. }! c, O- A
% |% K- q. J, I5 w0 u# QIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# W3 e. f2 G. V' x5 l% B& _+ g
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 P K. Z0 Y7 I. T/ X8 f
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( |1 C1 A- F% p' {( I' O8 e
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ x& C3 s0 C: b6 P6 g; e% ?4 t% ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ `: m3 ?) e; y
developments.
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Information note:
5 C" d6 W2 x$ L! d$ gThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, V- _( D# n2 x: b8 e- c
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 ^ @% ~) V* F! u. E' Q/ M
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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