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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market p: P" A( v. | {- |
2 ?9 E P8 l' E N# N1 V$ R+ i; \; W( gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& b8 l2 K" e9 I1 L9 s. A
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly" Y& C8 t2 h K9 J
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 E5 g) }, I& w( b
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
/ s/ x& F4 d: N/ D+ C+ _3 lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 E4 L3 p7 y; a, t0 j) l8 EUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness) c8 _# w; E: T0 G
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% B; x* U* z+ Q! q% M
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* t% J' v! n1 G c7 g1 x+ ~( F
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ k2 |" U# d& g3 G/ e2 l5 d/ Jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& C" [' u2 M) i/ L* C }# V3 Qin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an9 k0 s T& h6 b$ D
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! V5 _5 J; \7 d2 H9 I6 m: @* O6 Kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity* }. k* a3 j+ j2 A. {; |, l
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: W" Q! v# w0 \6 I: e* C4 y+ n. g
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 b3 W! m4 F3 G0 u4 M9 i0 H, U
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 O! d6 i( f) e3 O3 c) w0 K! u' c0 xGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" j3 n& _& z( p+ P; `$ mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
H4 J$ A/ U4 w0 y' H: b+ K6 Y3 k7 Cbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
( g; E5 u6 e9 Uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 I$ u. d, k5 ^' z' e! [) I) Tsupply.3 X8 Z* x4 y0 o
' k/ w- S: @- I& g1 p- h: x$ O8 v. v; zIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ U" U8 c# L* @( r1 V x
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( f" ?- _6 e! c5 y' R, q4 ^monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : ^( D9 O5 w7 z( p* }! v3 _
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.8 \( z( L" \5 l+ L* A- r
; G! Y s+ q- d- `% ^9 TGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& ^! s+ l) C6 F& u$ ~. n* K
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 i# u" Z8 E$ M% bdevelopments." ?" D) n/ O& x
/ g4 Q: j- e5 H9 jInformation note:! Q" M9 S' }4 L" c
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
, C% G: g3 D( \" eof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
* H1 k( R7 b' B' Spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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