 鲜花( 4348)  鸡蛋( 18)
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转贴,只有特定客户群才能看到的推荐,也许有用,但本人对风险概不负责。. K8 l) Q4 y& c5 w$ y5 v# i
加元:Pivot: 1.0250
' P4 N; X/ D4 z; `+ kOur preference: LONG above 1.0250 with target @ 1.0785 & 1.1125.
! X9 I- a: G: b& jAlternative scenario: Below 1.0250 look for further decline towards 1.0000.7 {' \% W" I4 U" |' _! I
Comment: the pair remains capped by a key bearish trend line but technical indicators are losing downward momentum.
; w4 q& e& n" _7 y, g7 rFollow up: we have been bullish since 16 DEC 2009 (1.0610).2 }- f, p, l! f6 E# n' e. ]) w- O
澳元:Pivot: 0.9410. S/ F( B, F/ ~; R
Our preference: SHORT below 0.9410 with targets at 0.8730 & 0.85 in extension.) n2 \% ^( A' m6 O5 p2 y
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9410 look for further upside towards 0.9850.5 [- k. C; m' D. [9 N0 t' _
Comment: the pair is shaping a rounding top pattern which calls for a deeper consolidation.8 K, v, }; O7 @0 |3 A% X/ |
Follow up: we have been bearish since 16 DEC 2009 (0.9000).- G4 v& F9 _" u6 b4 _2 F5 U7 D
欧元:Pivot: 1.4850
( B& d& `8 z0 T! [4 ~1 vOur preference: SHORT below 1.4850 towards 1.40 & 1.3750.
+ W; H, D$ _- ^3 V# GAlternative scenario: An upside breakout of 1.4850 would open the way towards 1.5150.
7 {# j8 d' j t2 i( rComment: The pair has broken below its MT bullish channel lower boundary and is shaping a bearish flag.9 K% b& i* E, O' s
Follow up: we have been bearish since 16 DEC 2009 (1.4541).
) }* Z0 Z( W1 _% |英镑:Pivot: 1.6750
: a, m/ r5 g4 J7 `# SOur preference: Short position below 1.6750 with targets at 1.57 and 1.53.
$ h5 j# l9 j% w8 z$ ?Alternative scenario: A break above 1.6750 would call for a further bounce to 1.7450.
- n) K1 U2 F. N, q1 U1 c; hComment: a key declining trend line on the daily RSI maintains downward pressure.1 j0 ^* p( { Z8 s/ ?
Follow up: we have been bearish since 16 DEC 2009 (1.6351).
, K% n, C( \- A+ G+ U欧日:Pivot: 126.35
3 f0 O; T% g) j I, {/ {Our Preference: LONG position above 126.35 with 134.80 & 138.50 in sight., }4 f+ T% J! U8 w1 m3 V3 {
Alternative Scenario: Below 126.35 down move to 122.50 & 116.
2 }+ Y9 H8 h( v5 Z1 w! SComment: The pair has rebounded on its range lower boundary and should reach its next resistance as the RSI is well directed.
. z( d' m6 V( y* P# \& C* I9 VFollow up: we have been bullish since 21 OCT 2009 (135.81).
# j E( B' P, W& ?3 p% r日元:Pivot: 87.509 ?" W' a, l2 j' @
Our preference: LONG @ 88 with 95 or even 97.50 in sight. s3 j) e% K5 ^5 v
Alternative scenario: Below 87.50 look for a weakness to 84.80.
. U9 v& b4 R5 ?Comment: The pair has broken above its MT bearish channel upper boundary and should post a further up move.
. {5 T& w+ H/ l3 q0 GFollow up: we have been bullish since 23 DEC 2009 (91.68). |
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