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大家新年好,1月4日的推荐

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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2010-1-4 08:15 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
加元 Pivot: 1.036- \& T- n' g& x0 H
Our preference: Long positions above 1.036 with targets @ 1.045 & 1.0475 in extension.
! b9 K6 m0 n* R% I  MAlternative scenario: Below 1.036 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.5 S$ [8 g8 \5 F2 {
Comment: the RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.
; L2 x1 \" y( R" X* y& x7 a/ t澳元 Pivot: 0.91056 W: ]2 l* \( g5 W+ e, ^
Our preference: Short positions below 0.9105 with targets @ 0.9 & 0.8945 in extension.- H4 Z( Y2 X0 }: {& T# O, I
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9105 look for further upside with 0.913 & 0.9175 as targets.; d. s  M0 `' ^& }" M6 S4 g8 }
Comment: even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.4 G* u8 q- N$ q8 f+ d. x5 q
欧元 Pivot: 1.4452 h) C9 N2 i$ h. f0 d
Our preference: Short positions below 1.445 with targets @ 1.4365 & 1.4325 in extension.: n! _) I% c) @: f
Alternative scenario: Above 1.445 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.
* b; M+ ^  G6 d2 NComment: the RSI lacks upward momentumn, the pair remains below its strong resistance and should face a weakness.
, }/ G& B6 f( L) u英镑 Pivot: 1.625( W: o& i. ?$ Z
Our preference: Short positions below 1.625 with targets @ 1.61 & 1.605 in extension.& P- [$ b& E! u9 J
Alternative scenario: Above 1.625 look for further upside with 1.63 & 1.635 as targets.' }1 e- i: V& n4 V3 M7 C% T, T
Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and should face a weakness as the RSI is turning down.
6 @5 M( w, x0 P. L: }6 R. s+ Q% w欧日 Pivot: 133  n. n# F. q7 j; z% P- _4 O
Our preference: Long positions above 133 with targets @ 134 & 134.4 in extension.
4 M6 h% T1 \8 O* i4 tAlternative scenario: Below 133 look for further downside with 132.75 & 132.35 as targets.2 A+ }9 A$ m" N
Comment: the pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance./ ]6 L+ ^2 z; }" d! L+ E
日元 Pivot: 92.45. r. ]0 \9 Y% D. I4 U- ^0 |
Our preference: Long positions above 92.45 with targets @ 93.2 & 93.5 in extension.7 K% p9 Z0 T2 r  k8 M/ l1 n! G8 D
Alternative scenario: Below 92.45 look for further downside with 91.9 & 91.6 as targets.
% m9 s( R8 t1 e* A/ gComment: the pair should rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-1-4 11:18 | 显示全部楼层
狠好.
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-4 21:41 | 显示全部楼层
1月4号下午  U- W4 _/ |4 |- ?' z, u3 O; `% E, M4 j
Pivot: 1.0345
6 d, ^+ K- b0 v: V! ]Our preference: Long positions above 1.0345 with targets @ 1.0445 & 1.0475 in extension./ f3 O/ h. x2 I4 T+ ~) \
Alternative scenario: Below 1.0345 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
/ z! [) L/ E5 K' W; n- w! fComment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.
' ^( o1 X+ H9 nPivot: 0.9155: N  t3 S) L) w" u
Our preference: Short positions below 0.9155 with targets @ 0.904 & 0.901 in extension.
" a# e$ }+ x$ {; z7 w2 A8 v, YAlternative scenario: Above 0.9155 look for further upside with 0.9185 & 0.923 as targets.
8 F6 X! h# w& g# ~3 v7 [* b6 d0 \" ?% tComment: the RSI is overbought and is reversing down.
. m8 h1 b9 O  W4 u- d' O$ c5 wPivot: 1.4465) G! T- W# Y* \; ~/ Q
Our preference: Short positions below 1.4465 with targets @ 1.4375 & 1.4325 in extension.) t1 F# v* S8 `
Alternative scenario: Above 1.4465 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.  v/ j4 ~1 A8 z# v
Comment: the RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.
& h9 v9 _! I  y: N- i0 hPivot: 1.615: ]' q8 j# H5 p+ U% p+ S
Our preference: Short positions below 1.615 with targets @ 1.6065 & 1.602 in extension.
: n) d' B: ^2 a! }, n2 }( x0 PAlternative scenario: Above 1.615 look for further upside with 1.62 & 1.624 as targets.
2 q& Y4 }+ j/ X, u+ M. @: p9 ^Comment: the RSI is badly directed." y% K2 v, M+ }
Pivot: 133.85
9 z2 k! N( b  V% {3 w: {& E% rOur preference: Short positions below 133.85 with targets @ 133.1 & 132.6 in extension.
' @2 F+ `+ B% r6 Q' r) H9 D; l7 o4 |Alternative scenario: Above 133.85 look for further upside with 134.4 & 135 as targets.5 ^! N# [1 U$ q" |; t5 G
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentum.
; R* ?( P8 d$ @Pivot: 92.957 H1 f. O% R1 B# x% j8 W
Our preference: Short positions below 92.95 with targets @ 92.25 & 91.9 in extension.
! T5 ]+ F) B  E2 U- CAlternative scenario: Above 92.95 look for further upside with 93.2 & 93.5 as targets.0 Q$ [$ k9 F0 a0 n$ N
Comment: the RSI has just banged against its neutrality area at 50% and is reversing down.
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-4 21:51 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-1-4 21:52 编辑
9 f. o7 \3 ]5 c! [- v
7 Z) K9 S/ u9 x$ E2 j# b/ x7 B我推荐加元,目前位置买入,止损低于1.0350;1.0300买入,止损低于1.0250。总共不到100点的风险。
" Q+ D0 x+ v0 e目标位置最小1.0550。如果突破1.0550可以考虑加仓,因为双底得到确认,应该有大幅继续上升的空间1.0750-1.08甚至1.11-1.12。* m0 P* b5 x' I+ q2 ]
以前的帖子里说过,加元会在1.03-1.08之间震荡一段时间,这一轮震荡应该快要结束了。
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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 10:30 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-1-5 10:37 编辑 , }- M. N6 u6 G' N
  @$ f1 K. T& v( S5 a
经过昨天晚上和今天早上的震荡,加元看起来现在突破1.0410非常困难,安全起见建议目前位置平仓。* u5 n) E! }8 P; ^
另一个证据是有两对货币在日图上已经明显突破。但是今天的数据混合,房屋差,大汽车销售商好,估计震荡将要继续。
9 E! u2 d( i6 _4 @; O, U5 W/ c个人建议在1.5990买入英镑,用非常紧的止损尝试一下,因为谣传这里有大量买单。而且从日图上看目前在回抽确认。
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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 10:51 | 显示全部楼层
一般执行一个交易需要三个理由,最后一个在这里,0.618黄金分割支撑位。
GBP USD 1HR.gif
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 13:11 | 显示全部楼层
英镑在0.618位置显示了良好的支撑。英镑交叉盘也为英镑提供了支持。
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鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-1-5 18:41 | 显示全部楼层
紫版又开始上班了,支持。
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