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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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& @3 E* c( \% V8 B- W( x1 lThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 5 X4 R2 X+ I2 e) S- U
% S- M4 d7 ?3 t, I7 T0 g# X, x$ kThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.) O8 V! l! r( N9 f, q
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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+ M2 G9 @8 V6 d G! l7 _, @9 EHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." / j" L6 A1 q& _! X+ h6 k s
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 2 P; p8 i1 ~4 x3 j5 v: t
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. . M' s, H7 }5 ^( G
7 J) y3 s) q6 E; e8 T) mThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.. g' T4 o: Y3 q4 g- T7 Y
# |+ d" `$ H; A+ I7 C/ \CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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