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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. $ r M2 D2 F# T, Y6 m3 E8 Z. S
) m- L) T+ b1 [- J3 b* IThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 9 V6 ^" P8 A" @+ V3 H
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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0 g9 N% x+ w$ \. s; P+ D) X4 R4 ONow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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2 [- ^! h. K; ]$ i' T( |0 ?$ [It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. / r+ ^- P; y8 a# l1 ]5 ~/ u
^8 @6 D. ?$ G0 r* ^6 wHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." 0 H$ C6 ]' P6 D. c; Q, {8 V
' s0 f! n" Q I' x& a. \' X) _7 ZIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 4 c r2 ^( e2 D' o# `* m& B
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.& g& I1 n& M; i
. b% T! `* o9 g; P& YCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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