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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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9 x }* Q, s# K8 DEric Bushell: {8 T& i( V' {. I4 s; y
Senior Vice-President,
, D0 `4 C1 ^( ? i% F- f7 L( A& O UPortfolio Management7 M6 K8 m: D0 k9 G
and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。2 B/ H* N$ n5 J$ G6 `/ s& C
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets8 A" L; u! ^9 v/ O4 h6 n
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
' x4 m" a+ k( Bran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
# c a, c; [/ h5 t& k, `European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
7 \/ y5 E9 `' E t. y% {phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an) a) u' ?- R/ Z. V9 Z% C6 a. L" E
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September b5 x; ]& {$ T9 A
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble* l: C- N# f* w3 W
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit9 @+ ]' \3 v% y+ V
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects5 X- p/ q2 @9 {% E$ d8 m7 B8 `
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
% u5 l& ~7 M6 J6 p, [U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
7 Y- D) }: |; T$ B, I- cmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened1 K s5 i. T7 N2 Y
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more2 A# W+ i. t( E( X
neutral risk positioning. |
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