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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.' m1 D# q& V' w) K
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
: `5 _3 ^! U9 \ X' `January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
: K! f" Q2 {" L+ osolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
$ b0 ?3 R& d6 {2 Bchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
, U+ M* j) L* W$ {4 b6 _" Lrecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from0 j7 F E2 g1 c) }" P+ f0 R
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
~& N1 @1 A2 q9 x1 hbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of+ f) O T `+ e6 o7 Q) s, z% }
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are5 t: s- e/ k" }, d& N" w- h
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
! D( ~7 P* A; ?- z6 fBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative* {" N% C# \3 E) ~; P* w
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
: v3 s0 p9 J& ]7 Yrecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.% b1 x* s- Z, A) A: _
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
3 B) ^+ M; C9 I% G) }5 yof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
, x7 W9 _8 h3 W, x+ m) x( Uperformance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the- H+ z4 q; q" r( T1 e
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
( d. y. ?2 ~8 A$ iconsiderable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate9 B$ f5 Q9 ^5 G. u/ H; d# P
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the* ?' \+ @+ l3 Z! K
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
; W, R5 q- t8 J2 S* z" o+ k9 ureduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered., _" b) H* B [& j2 P4 s: v& @
Information note:
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) b' x6 t! M( m3 ` J* g* UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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