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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 Z `$ E+ H* f! x6 C+ f
6 R$ e t3 l# N& E
OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight* Z- {* d: }" ]6 M
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- i" i, [$ {; d0 E
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
* ]# ^. Z* w$ B4 Y2 _operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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( |) _/ Q( P) S) N& p. rThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 N* m0 i& F$ X8 j9 K- h
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, F: Y) V& B: F( a
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
, u$ I) r+ Z+ ]' S! zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
c3 q% M# p1 ]* Q) ^# I" |( qIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 P5 C4 A7 P& \& f9 [* `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
; L6 y; @" M& ?variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& i. b" A; u. l$ P, `+ w4 bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
u! N7 h. x$ U" k7 Dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 E1 [* g9 ?8 v" @. [1 Dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
0 c, q k9 r" J8 ^7 [prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
3 I4 h8 r$ l4 x$ f" f, Bin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# O0 @- Q3 y& s) H5 E4 Z4 aGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 ^! b# _) N1 s9 S1 vincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 u' u/ e3 h# J8 y7 i
balanced recovery.3 H; v( N5 R g$ y0 B
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects- B9 J# Y( M! W3 s
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) E6 W2 b" z% A
supply.
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; _8 M- E- t9 T3 K; _In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) a( O+ X/ `' I" }! }( I' _
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 f+ z) W! r' v4 Umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
8 t' `" x# u8 R# I% \significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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/ O9 }9 w% R, P/ u8 m& R( Z! l- n0 mGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary P1 m0 ?& }6 Z. }! x. n
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
' h* a% P5 J/ Ydevelopments.
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Information note:
& i" D4 H& ]3 t4 |) b }The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% U. E! h% B* T$ r! zof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
+ m' N M s5 l+ Rpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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