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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight' c; \2 X# X- |, R) ?. W- _
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly @7 [% v. B* A3 C
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ E% P1 R0 G0 Q$ j2 X/ x: ^# o4 Hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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3 K# r) ^ d! }2 S4 PThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with' s' P: ^! p- r+ a8 n
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! ^/ h0 E/ C. ~' {; Y8 q( t' }; C
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 b1 Y- x. _' R& G9 r8 ^2 Uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- s! E( q) N" i1 zIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 i& i: U/ K4 D$ q" q& Y. A* Y/ [stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
- ]1 q1 l; p8 x/ m; f' Q' \variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ E* _# B/ X& z; x. C$ din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
. \+ T0 x7 |8 h: M; A( X. Y7 M% ximportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 K8 `& l' o" V! _6 x% Jspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 t7 B& P" E; v m7 l3 ~
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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2 J/ K- ~" f% e+ i) [! bActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, j6 t: M- |' D8 q1 y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 Q3 Q0 I4 C- r% A! d
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 g ~& P: Z, U5 e; Sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" s9 |3 m1 ?0 s8 |. S Gbalanced recovery.
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( u3 x5 q9 r3 |3 ?9 M! E% UCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 h/ P _' A ?* Sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* R, O; A, O* k6 Jsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ y: ^" R+ \! i$ p% Z
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 i5 I/ \' P* _2 g5 Q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
* s2 _/ b& X5 X3 {' s0 V$ f. Ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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: @, q8 M( [2 s3 M* MGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 P- ?9 p) h7 a+ lstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 h. v' ~. |" B- J+ ?3 b
developments.: |! W, S- E: Y/ D6 ^$ l
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Information note:
9 f, Y' X. W4 P! ?# mThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; i% Y3 a; F* m% L& C" z9 r! ]
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be7 M% y3 P6 i4 {8 ]/ r( L! |. L* X% j
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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