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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market' G3 f1 e" b2 c0 n! `
9 U1 C0 ]6 r+ a6 ?' t( o" hOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 |+ S; l* F+ G z4 M9 W
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 s9 {8 E5 a. Z& H* [4 ^5 `raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) M2 E y* b9 H5 ^; doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. H! G; ~6 { @& m5 _
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the. Q( W0 f0 @. W5 v* _) U( w
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& I2 n) {4 I: M9 X% T; l/ M
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.3 H( S) |2 e3 U8 {9 z b0 e
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal2 q/ r1 ~ [! i& k {3 Y6 Y2 k
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. Y$ ^) q2 [$ H( Pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 r) x4 q/ l9 }8 n5 T& l7 yin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 e5 ?3 E) A9 C4 Nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 {: p5 \+ L7 k$ q0 A7 jspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- T3 l9 v! [# v
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* N+ O- R' m2 R# `
; v3 [6 ^/ X8 W5 y2 dActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; j- @# ?# G. G' G! ]- w* D1 r4 O. F; F4 B
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# ]" A& K3 ^* F5 G, g6 E8 QGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
4 L6 M7 @0 Y, @income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 ~+ _5 {$ n2 \" R c% rbalanced recovery.
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1 ^0 ~* Z! j* F) W' LCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
. Z9 i8 @8 A8 m2 j& V* l8 I5 m7 @the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ f+ R# U0 \/ b2 z. Dsupply.. `3 o' Z+ c- @
6 {+ q# U( Q+ }, JIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
+ v5 }: c* f& ?0 ^2 P8 pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( Y4 v1 L5 e; s3 h2 D" S& amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% b# z4 K7 d* r& I, fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* Q! w' S& w8 c: n. `% z1 D
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% L! N6 p4 d- q# o) {5 z. Tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ ]9 ?" }' T) A- d# f" O1 b" Q
developments.
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$ m; A" e% ` G( z4 }Information note:" ~& ~, w# T/ o$ p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
! N( d/ Y4 x y, Z) W7 @, jof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 n' |8 X! b1 i$ Hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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