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大家新年好,1月4日的推荐

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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2010-1-4 08:15 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
加元 Pivot: 1.036# t+ O8 P9 J! V' n0 U6 }
Our preference: Long positions above 1.036 with targets @ 1.045 & 1.0475 in extension." Z! D. ]3 ~) _
Alternative scenario: Below 1.036 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
; ~5 Y( ^/ b$ P2 `8 t5 [6 JComment: the RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.
/ K! j/ [2 y# X& m, U! Q澳元 Pivot: 0.9105
; t; x$ n: W, [8 ^3 sOur preference: Short positions below 0.9105 with targets @ 0.9 & 0.8945 in extension.: S$ p. _% E* ~, z4 n% F
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9105 look for further upside with 0.913 & 0.9175 as targets.8 i& c9 O2 u5 c& ^
Comment: even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.+ L3 ^! {3 ^: N2 l5 ^3 A. [
欧元 Pivot: 1.445
9 Q( N4 X( I; iOur preference: Short positions below 1.445 with targets @ 1.4365 & 1.4325 in extension.
! [. `! i" S+ o. DAlternative scenario: Above 1.445 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.* L. ?7 ^7 N; J9 s8 B3 G+ Q
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentumn, the pair remains below its strong resistance and should face a weakness.
. H( r" O$ S  R4 \" ~英镑 Pivot: 1.625
: O6 b+ L: e5 p5 s6 fOur preference: Short positions below 1.625 with targets @ 1.61 & 1.605 in extension.1 u5 |0 k6 C; }' [* |
Alternative scenario: Above 1.625 look for further upside with 1.63 & 1.635 as targets., |& K3 ]; k+ W1 d) T, `
Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and should face a weakness as the RSI is turning down.
; P) `! j; x( J+ {) X欧日 Pivot: 1337 C9 s; v/ G/ n# }% K. y" Q
Our preference: Long positions above 133 with targets @ 134 & 134.4 in extension.3 c9 R/ ^4 \& d7 Q3 C3 D6 ]* H4 r6 ?
Alternative scenario: Below 133 look for further downside with 132.75 & 132.35 as targets.
" Z( J8 l" w$ Y5 d6 nComment: the pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance.
% t  u8 P9 o/ ?日元 Pivot: 92.45
0 {$ S2 `# N, Q. m5 f4 FOur preference: Long positions above 92.45 with targets @ 93.2 & 93.5 in extension.4 ?! O  X, S2 l5 @7 v
Alternative scenario: Below 92.45 look for further downside with 91.9 & 91.6 as targets.& V$ n/ Y- V3 |' L6 v* t2 ~
Comment: the pair should rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.
大型搬家
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-1-4 11:18 | 显示全部楼层
狠好.
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-4 21:41 | 显示全部楼层
1月4号下午
9 N4 z; K) M4 w$ i: ?. }6 ~' @5 BPivot: 1.0345
. \# T$ ]/ k7 O3 I8 }Our preference: Long positions above 1.0345 with targets @ 1.0445 & 1.0475 in extension.
3 p3 b: w- D8 o0 O4 c+ J* k0 qAlternative scenario: Below 1.0345 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.2 c7 r& U# q. W2 N
Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.
, o. ?, I1 G! q2 h$ ]6 B- oPivot: 0.91557 w9 M# [3 W( Q% M! z: U& v
Our preference: Short positions below 0.9155 with targets @ 0.904 & 0.901 in extension.
' n& z$ V% F. O1 ?  b: f4 m, m6 bAlternative scenario: Above 0.9155 look for further upside with 0.9185 & 0.923 as targets.7 }3 Q  x6 X# |. ?' {
Comment: the RSI is overbought and is reversing down.
* V9 l* f5 R. a9 b1 ^Pivot: 1.4465
' [9 |% |3 T9 J& L5 H1 KOur preference: Short positions below 1.4465 with targets @ 1.4375 & 1.4325 in extension.
6 _8 U* s8 m4 s$ j9 xAlternative scenario: Above 1.4465 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.
7 `8 P/ M' |' ~4 @* H0 Q7 }- @Comment: the RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.( E& G7 H5 Q4 ]# Z8 I
Pivot: 1.615( x2 Y% W) s& P% q- o9 x
Our preference: Short positions below 1.615 with targets @ 1.6065 & 1.602 in extension.8 P, `" l% D. x1 z2 M; K
Alternative scenario: Above 1.615 look for further upside with 1.62 & 1.624 as targets.5 f4 D$ }% G! p& @& Y; A# t
Comment: the RSI is badly directed.4 s$ ~/ v  i' y3 {9 H& B
Pivot: 133.85/ Z  {& s# N+ M1 S
Our preference: Short positions below 133.85 with targets @ 133.1 & 132.6 in extension.
" L& F) n0 k' l- f" d& R% o+ SAlternative scenario: Above 133.85 look for further upside with 134.4 & 135 as targets.& F- z8 K0 U9 s0 ~5 d  m
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentum.2 X4 p, `8 ]; Z( g& c
Pivot: 92.95  X' @/ k! s! H& B% A7 z
Our preference: Short positions below 92.95 with targets @ 92.25 & 91.9 in extension.! U9 O3 m2 f7 U! \: L2 y$ z& @
Alternative scenario: Above 92.95 look for further upside with 93.2 & 93.5 as targets.0 x0 u) X0 R7 k+ w2 y4 Q
Comment: the RSI has just banged against its neutrality area at 50% and is reversing down.
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-4 21:51 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-1-4 21:52 编辑
# t7 a  b! @3 }3 p8 ~3 ?$ `$ ?
9 C, J2 ]; Q" o6 |6 K% d% d+ C我推荐加元,目前位置买入,止损低于1.0350;1.0300买入,止损低于1.0250。总共不到100点的风险。
+ R9 p2 }6 A+ f2 ?; A' K! O目标位置最小1.0550。如果突破1.0550可以考虑加仓,因为双底得到确认,应该有大幅继续上升的空间1.0750-1.08甚至1.11-1.12。+ G& ?/ x* c' b7 o
以前的帖子里说过,加元会在1.03-1.08之间震荡一段时间,这一轮震荡应该快要结束了。
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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 10:30 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-1-5 10:37 编辑 7 P( P5 M/ X. F' x: R# V) {. n
+ q" h, V* D. c0 T. u6 V
经过昨天晚上和今天早上的震荡,加元看起来现在突破1.0410非常困难,安全起见建议目前位置平仓。0 H2 D  N) s" ]0 d5 ?
另一个证据是有两对货币在日图上已经明显突破。但是今天的数据混合,房屋差,大汽车销售商好,估计震荡将要继续。# I8 `9 S% u# g" F. ]( j5 R# n; G
个人建议在1.5990买入英镑,用非常紧的止损尝试一下,因为谣传这里有大量买单。而且从日图上看目前在回抽确认。
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大型搬家
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 10:51 | 显示全部楼层
一般执行一个交易需要三个理由,最后一个在这里,0.618黄金分割支撑位。
GBP USD 1HR.gif
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 13:11 | 显示全部楼层
英镑在0.618位置显示了良好的支撑。英镑交叉盘也为英镑提供了支持。
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大型搬家
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-1-5 18:41 | 显示全部楼层
紫版又开始上班了,支持。
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