大家新年好，1月4日的推荐

紫光

加元 Pivot: 1.036
Our preference: Long positions above 1.036 with targets @ 1.045 & 1.0475 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.036 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
Comment: the RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.
# G( t0 l% k/ j" b% c- [澳元 Pivot: 0.9105
, t+ J# Z" G, \+ [$ DOur preference: Short positions below 0.9105 with targets @ 0.9 & 0.8945 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9105 look for further upside with 0.913 & 0.9175 as targets.
Comment: even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
9 B  g* K. Z' {( Q5 R8 l7 |' k3 l) k欧元 Pivot: 1.445
Our preference: Short positions below 1.445 with targets @ 1.4365 & 1.4325 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.445 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentumn, the pair remains below its strong resistance and should face a weakness.
" Y) A- q% y2 O0 @: ^' W7 d英镑 Pivot: 1.625
, i. q4 F& k* \  JOur preference: Short positions below 1.625 with targets @ 1.61 & 1.605 in extension.
* @% P: t3 p4 b' z! [  b! |Alternative scenario: Above 1.625 look for further upside with 1.63 & 1.635 as targets.
Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and should face a weakness as the RSI is turning down.
* K8 x3 C; U5 g) ]9 u& P欧日 Pivot: 133
Our preference: Long positions above 133 with targets @ 134 & 134.4 in extension.
) \! X% a2 s& M* `4 ^Alternative scenario: Below 133 look for further downside with 132.75 & 132.35 as targets.
2 E. A4 G+ }9 X3 V7 _0 s& n& ?Comment: the pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance.
日元 Pivot: 92.45
7 X. M: U1 x  l: ~. o7 S. VOur preference: Long positions above 92.45 with targets @ 93.2 & 93.5 in extension.
, G9 x4 U( t8 I2 qAlternative scenario: Below 92.45 look for further downside with 91.9 & 91.6 as targets.
6 w, L! s, `: `! d' |% E1 a- e0 VComment: the pair should rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.

末底改

狠好.

紫光

1月4号下午
Pivot: 1.0345
0 |3 H. J; c7 n' ^) b6 u4 oOur preference: Long positions above 1.0345 with targets @ 1.0445 & 1.0475 in extension.
2 k5 P  h4 e, ~- g* mAlternative scenario: Below 1.0345 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
  h! l% i! v2 p+ kComment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.
Pivot: 0.9155
- Q/ X: `0 E  c. R$ y* TOur preference: Short positions below 0.9155 with targets @ 0.904 & 0.901 in extension.
% m% d: m" ^( @9 Z$ R$ ]! HAlternative scenario: Above 0.9155 look for further upside with 0.9185 & 0.923 as targets.
; t( [: G5 C, i# {+ ^: G2 w" b* D  fComment: the RSI is overbought and is reversing down.
3 E* n) k& U: o; E# x9 ~Pivot: 1.4465
Our preference: Short positions below 1.4465 with targets @ 1.4375 & 1.4325 in extension.
+ ?: p3 a( R, I+ z, QAlternative scenario: Above 1.4465 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.
Comment: the RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.
Pivot: 1.615
# f% e( K* A+ P3 bOur preference: Short positions below 1.615 with targets @ 1.6065 & 1.602 in extension.
2 `5 }- E9 ^6 [1 sAlternative scenario: Above 1.615 look for further upside with 1.62 & 1.624 as targets.
3 G, g3 w! P4 R$ @( v3 I# f- GComment: the RSI is badly directed.
9 t* Y2 L" g; Y  q1 x2 G& RPivot: 133.85
Our preference: Short positions below 133.85 with targets @ 133.1 & 132.6 in extension.
9 E% S" a. [7 N% P. e( mAlternative scenario: Above 133.85 look for further upside with 134.4 & 135 as targets.
' ^; r& y- e3 T9 O" i9 N; gComment: the RSI lacks upward momentum.
4 [8 D. A1 P( n, I& FPivot: 92.95
/ |% K! Q- m0 @- ~Our preference: Short positions below 92.95 with targets @ 92.25 & 91.9 in extension.
  m% e. p9 f% X0 JAlternative scenario: Above 92.95 look for further upside with 93.2 & 93.5 as targets.
; j( b; A; {* R% w% l0 pComment: the RSI has just banged against its neutrality area at 50% and is reversing down.

紫光

. q( S- h) ~9 a" Z' |: I" e; y: S
' o2 z) K  r' i' [+ N+ p( ]我推荐加元，目前位置买入，止损低于1.0350；1.0300买入，止损低于1.0250。总共不到100点的风险。
9 j# U7 l; G" j+ a, M2 Y目标位置最小1.0550。如果突破1.0550可以考虑加仓，因为双底得到确认，应该有大幅继续上升的空间1.0750-1.08甚至1.11-1.12。
以前的帖子里说过，加元会在1.03-1.08之间震荡一段时间，这一轮震荡应该快要结束了。

紫光

经过昨天晚上和今天早上的震荡，加元看起来现在突破1.0410非常困难，安全起见建议目前位置平仓。
, H2 s8 F3 H- c' h. U, h! Y7 S另一个证据是有两对货币在日图上已经明显突破。但是今天的数据混合，房屋差，大汽车销售商好，估计震荡将要继续。
2 b5 P! z/ V3 w* u7 j个人建议在1.5990买入英镑，用非常紧的止损尝试一下，因为谣传这里有大量买单。而且从日图上看目前在回抽确认。

紫光

一般执行一个交易需要三个理由，最后一个在这里，0.618黄金分割支撑位。

紫光

英镑在0.618位置显示了良好的支撑。英镑交叉盘也为英镑提供了支持。

smallhill

紫版又开始上班了，支持。