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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ! W+ O& _4 @ u$ ]$ H7 }
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 9 i8 h, y, r3 h/ K' t
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.% I9 O0 t+ D4 ~3 l
7 E9 R0 \ |4 FIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.% g4 e t. M/ Q6 x/ h& M" T R
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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: i2 e; o" ~/ G! |: THowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." 8 B2 F1 u, r# @7 r9 H) r
& U2 _7 v5 p- s1 @- CIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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/ \; K4 _' e8 l# Q- k! o7 P7 OThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 9 C$ F. C8 o8 _ k
2 ^* }5 D* x! bThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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) I' N3 v `3 Z! n" L; L. \CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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