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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 7 `. [; d4 P3 |+ b/ o1 {& z
: F1 L0 t* o# D3 yThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 8 L/ ^5 Q" L4 y! s6 t9 i
8 @- k" _8 ]. x. d0 NThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year., Z) C5 x0 q( h& {0 N0 U' z
0 @2 x) `* }* l( e6 g. KIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700./ O0 `; ?& Q1 s% q
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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* ]! V4 F" @7 EIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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1 ~! Y1 u. k2 h4 s- TCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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