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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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4 |- j2 s. l j( W. q/ @; d& CThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 8 s- C, l' h/ J+ r
$ ]9 {: F& x% J B; r/ GThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700." T* |! N3 R; s- [* `) |
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. & I; j5 i/ f7 y
9 Q) ]; S' @, ? \However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." ' A$ n9 j* o# b& f$ x( I; l2 n
, v1 O9 k) U$ i0 `: ~3 h1 TIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. + A) g& A' G u% v B2 G. [0 t4 B
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.# A1 C" v T0 K: l# X; Z6 {
+ z8 E/ K9 }% hCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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