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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. . D |3 z) q6 w* b$ w# ~5 \- ^: I
# \( T) x* N+ O/ oThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. , s) N C& G. E, P! y
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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, u6 ~2 L% `+ d, z+ UNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.- O- r3 J2 k2 X& X
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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) |( T2 v; j! L6 Z+ L"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. * j! R1 D: L2 M, X9 t; l1 p9 M
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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) m) e: |8 a0 z/ [7 y, dIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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+ {: N- {/ m' r, M* dThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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9 W3 V" o @, {, WThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.4 s. ]# D1 s$ `: _
/ p; R/ m3 Z# s" p+ [CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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