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EDMONTON – By the end of the year, Edmonton could get something it hasn’t seen for several years — a “normalized” housing market — as homes for sale dry up and prices drop . % J+ T) w1 i* x3 t" z1 f3 M
5 H3 t7 n( o+ j! l O3 oThat’s the forecast contained in the House Price Survey and Market Survey Forecast released Thursday by Royal LePage Real Estate Services.
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A soaring number of homes put on the market especially by builders and speculators in the last year softened the city’s housing market during the second quarter, the report said. - ^- O0 a! B% J( c2 C
7 x \6 d/ `2 y4 I* \“The high inventory levels will dwindle into the second half of the year, and as affordability improves, subsequent market conditions will continue to normalize,” the report said. 4 O+ t L0 {) X5 a
; u4 Y, r6 O" t" sAs of the end of Wednesday, there were 11,184 homes for sale on the Multiple Listing Service, according to the Realtors’ Association of Edmonton. 0 k! s/ e% \% d4 S2 ^+ Z) |$ Z
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But Alberta’s two biggest cities still boast some of the most expensive real estate in the country, it noted. 3 k: x2 g- m; p- ]' B
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“Despite some mild price erosion during the second quarter in both Calgary and Edmonton, these markets remain strong. Although prices have come down from where they were last year — one of the best years on record — current house prices are far higher than they were three years ago before energy-rich Alberta experienced its boom.”
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- Z$ j: t N, }+ P7 v! wThe average price for a detached bungalow in Edmonton in April, May and June was $320,000, down about 14.5 per cent from the same period in 2007 ($374,143), Royal LePage said in its survey of Canadian house prices.
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In the second quarter of 2008, a two-storey house in Edmonton sold for an average price of $348,571, down 12.4 per cent year-over-year from $397,857.
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, H6 z/ _% t, |+ qAn average condominium in Edmonton was priced at $226,000, down 14.2 per cent from $263,333 in the comparable 2007 period. 9 ~! `: S" k8 o: a9 H& s+ O
; |& k4 X3 k; M1 ]7 X7 ^, Z1 Q“A surge in inventory caused Alberta’s white-hot market to record the country’s only major-market price decreases,” the report said.
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Across most of the country, average house prices rose, but more slowly than the spikes seen in 2006 and 2007. # j5 D( J7 ]2 g8 {( C" i: P
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Royal LePage forecasts the national average house price to rise by 3.5 per cent, to $318,000 by year’s end. 5 |0 R4 p! H/ J; y+ S
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The report predicts home sale transactions to decrease by 11.5 per cent to 461,000 unit sales by year’s end. |
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