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大家新年好,1月4日的推荐

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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2010-1-4 08:15 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
加元 Pivot: 1.036
* x5 M& M6 G0 i8 r  k0 b# YOur preference: Long positions above 1.036 with targets @ 1.045 & 1.0475 in extension.
- h' y1 ^6 v% B9 b0 s& TAlternative scenario: Below 1.036 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
+ e* {8 Q" w0 y! yComment: the RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.
- ?4 v# Q1 z7 l, s. `澳元 Pivot: 0.9105
1 Y2 @4 X( G4 s8 k0 aOur preference: Short positions below 0.9105 with targets @ 0.9 & 0.8945 in extension.7 a' j8 E4 {# O2 N/ x0 m
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9105 look for further upside with 0.913 & 0.9175 as targets.+ i* \7 l& _. j8 @8 n% Y) g( S+ h
Comment: even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
/ U$ x8 E9 d* D0 x# `- f& }欧元 Pivot: 1.4457 \. l2 M2 B- U, {
Our preference: Short positions below 1.445 with targets @ 1.4365 & 1.4325 in extension.
  `* G1 ]( b2 e9 e8 ?7 P9 H! t+ zAlternative scenario: Above 1.445 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.! m0 o- `$ O% |( [4 @* @
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentumn, the pair remains below its strong resistance and should face a weakness.
) ?; j* p1 ]6 V6 X$ e英镑 Pivot: 1.6255 y/ M+ Z, Y7 X5 [& b$ G  T% i
Our preference: Short positions below 1.625 with targets @ 1.61 & 1.605 in extension.
* m( e6 \3 u/ \Alternative scenario: Above 1.625 look for further upside with 1.63 & 1.635 as targets.
3 I% X+ F+ x! Y9 S, U) KComment: the pair has struck against its resistance and should face a weakness as the RSI is turning down.
% a/ H& R, k- p& P* X欧日 Pivot: 133$ }- b' g7 O! J
Our preference: Long positions above 133 with targets @ 134 & 134.4 in extension.$ g9 a0 A6 \" q- n' j( j7 K
Alternative scenario: Below 133 look for further downside with 132.75 & 132.35 as targets.7 D0 M# q2 f" Q, S" ]( T! w; u9 a
Comment: the pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance.
1 o. W( p  t; ?/ k9 m- N2 p4 Q日元 Pivot: 92.45* a3 E1 C/ J2 Q* N$ D: S0 |
Our preference: Long positions above 92.45 with targets @ 93.2 & 93.5 in extension.; @/ N& f: ^5 }/ `, R/ o
Alternative scenario: Below 92.45 look for further downside with 91.9 & 91.6 as targets.
) @5 T6 s- `& \6 FComment: the pair should rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-1-4 11:18 | 显示全部楼层
狠好.
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-4 21:41 | 显示全部楼层
1月4号下午
; E# z! A' g" l: HPivot: 1.0345
" Z( d* M8 X! t' A+ GOur preference: Long positions above 1.0345 with targets @ 1.0445 & 1.0475 in extension.. n  f0 M6 p/ C$ C6 }0 ~: W
Alternative scenario: Below 1.0345 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
# c4 n- n3 q. e3 q$ e; B2 QComment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.1 }$ h' X, f/ n3 Q; f9 b
Pivot: 0.9155
4 V4 [- W$ b) LOur preference: Short positions below 0.9155 with targets @ 0.904 & 0.901 in extension.
5 {6 q8 N" l$ R! o/ ^2 NAlternative scenario: Above 0.9155 look for further upside with 0.9185 & 0.923 as targets.
  `0 Z1 K4 Z$ y% \Comment: the RSI is overbought and is reversing down.7 u) [) w' l9 L4 Y
Pivot: 1.4465, I0 U0 `" B- h
Our preference: Short positions below 1.4465 with targets @ 1.4375 & 1.4325 in extension.& f- g' \7 x# L* v% k: |1 ]
Alternative scenario: Above 1.4465 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets., f0 P! l; ], L
Comment: the RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.
) w; C7 u$ @7 M  V4 N) JPivot: 1.615
9 K: ]1 n( B  UOur preference: Short positions below 1.615 with targets @ 1.6065 & 1.602 in extension.. N# K& |9 w% H: {* u% ], L
Alternative scenario: Above 1.615 look for further upside with 1.62 & 1.624 as targets.+ R, f+ ?" a. @! {- U* }5 J6 u
Comment: the RSI is badly directed.6 |2 ~% S; Y. ?0 l
Pivot: 133.851 n* Q" F  }" B. h; v
Our preference: Short positions below 133.85 with targets @ 133.1 & 132.6 in extension.2 o( w+ P) m. X+ e5 }, x
Alternative scenario: Above 133.85 look for further upside with 134.4 & 135 as targets." g0 O# L% |6 }$ b; E8 X4 U2 k
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentum.7 g+ N) @6 B2 K6 [+ v- c( R1 ~
Pivot: 92.952 C! F5 a+ \& H7 w' S& H
Our preference: Short positions below 92.95 with targets @ 92.25 & 91.9 in extension./ f) Y0 v* ?; b" h
Alternative scenario: Above 92.95 look for further upside with 93.2 & 93.5 as targets.' f8 ?: D2 U2 R$ E9 F  b3 W" U* U
Comment: the RSI has just banged against its neutrality area at 50% and is reversing down.
大型搬家
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-4 21:51 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-1-4 21:52 编辑
- P2 D9 l: C( \% f& f  b" v0 G! O: j6 m/ u1 l" V
我推荐加元,目前位置买入,止损低于1.0350;1.0300买入,止损低于1.0250。总共不到100点的风险。1 H) N  A0 S6 E
目标位置最小1.0550。如果突破1.0550可以考虑加仓,因为双底得到确认,应该有大幅继续上升的空间1.0750-1.08甚至1.11-1.12。
1 S! s* _( e/ Z) A3 x9 `5 D以前的帖子里说过,加元会在1.03-1.08之间震荡一段时间,这一轮震荡应该快要结束了。
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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 10:30 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-1-5 10:37 编辑 4 K9 C+ Y0 B  d* ?8 a+ F

/ S. A$ |2 p; @  z8 |经过昨天晚上和今天早上的震荡,加元看起来现在突破1.0410非常困难,安全起见建议目前位置平仓。& N5 k/ b. i1 U: R: @# g" B
另一个证据是有两对货币在日图上已经明显突破。但是今天的数据混合,房屋差,大汽车销售商好,估计震荡将要继续。7 y0 x( t5 L* h; P/ F+ d$ ~
个人建议在1.5990买入英镑,用非常紧的止损尝试一下,因为谣传这里有大量买单。而且从日图上看目前在回抽确认。
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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 10:51 | 显示全部楼层
一般执行一个交易需要三个理由,最后一个在这里,0.618黄金分割支撑位。
GBP USD 1HR.gif
大型搬家
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 13:11 | 显示全部楼层
英镑在0.618位置显示了良好的支撑。英镑交叉盘也为英镑提供了支持。
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GBP USD 1HR.gif
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-1-5 18:41 | 显示全部楼层
紫版又开始上班了,支持。
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