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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
% I5 |# }3 X3 N% H- [( x+ s3 |3 JPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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+ k1 F+ R* }* j( V$ FEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.% E- y6 m4 k" r1 v- k7 n2 T9 L
( }3 R* @8 t* a. l8 n/ L8 BLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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) D9 J4 Q$ O8 HNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."6 N2 {; ]3 f# n, k" K
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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8 d! L2 H! c' d7 Y, tA question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.6 ^1 k! m6 h+ J
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.5 f5 |7 I0 N* f- G* j7 k! q) }
$ B8 ^0 j% X3 v* l* K# KA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.2 c( B& n( m* t3 _% h7 e
* W1 A. @2 | b UAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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' v# w B3 ` k8 R+ TThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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/ l8 u( d5 H. P) y$ D7 FBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.' N9 I% z3 R& t0 j: \; Q; g
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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