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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
' K5 w* h! K' _0 D) b& n7 J5 VPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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( n$ [0 l9 ]/ i' @" hEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.2 A3 x* H, f' H' }$ ]
! y$ K& D! ^& ~" o! J- S DLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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3 \) h7 T$ o& r. g; g8 G. \) @( xNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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- H C* G9 b4 l& X; h8 T% e6 fWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.+ `6 a. q" G8 N0 }/ }
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.; p8 ]3 @" D1 S1 ?" |
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.) L D5 f6 Q& u9 G7 F {" h% K- r
6 H% `3 Z- I' RThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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$ F+ L9 V4 }- `3 m8 }% {4 N$ IA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.6 V7 `/ Z5 F0 V) k5 ~
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."8 s4 s8 |" l4 f! R
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise. g3 {" i0 h' k' c' E) d1 {
7 i* C5 h3 j; hBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates./ Y$ z; B$ G* A; I, f: g: U0 W
4 [/ |* S- Q2 W- z6 L"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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