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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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Thu, January 11, 2007
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Price is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007
- d; \- q' v7 x2 i( T+ sBy NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN
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4 z9 X- Y% [5 lThey're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace. ! V  T) q6 f+ H; P7 u% t
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Madeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later.
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But first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts.
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% m: }9 j( U5 L1 oDon't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%. - u* L- B1 J; M9 a7 Z! L9 @
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'CONTINUED DEMAND'
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"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year." % d0 \( X" v. t: _3 I  {! L6 B/ h
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She predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter. + G! f/ `" G: f( E* C5 c& O$ j

3 M0 I- Y$ _* W, v6 E$ t+ o- f"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed. # s9 g; l2 b) F% S

3 b0 |) X, {2 p$ i  I6 [Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting. 7 R3 U; y7 L# Q0 }' e" L" T
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"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less."
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Still, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts. + [9 B2 ?5 ]* o; w5 @5 O
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"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy.
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  |- c9 S1 H4 J; q) S"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged. + y. L4 L& U2 V1 S
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"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.
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, a0 l/ q4 X, O& J. qNO PRICE BOOM REPEAT
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He also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable." ; @- O6 X5 ?1 {  c9 S! o! u1 X6 z3 U
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Expect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages. ) Y" Z4 G* Y: h
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Over at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service. # {9 a" C5 d! Q8 L( E9 x3 k( q( S
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His 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor.
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+ h4 q+ }8 y& u, ^! p2 c; h, W0 `"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked. 8 Y- V1 {; B% Z6 {) m
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So strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share. 0 s5 U1 Z( q8 ~* Y1 D. N
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Yesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about.
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"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered.
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Let the good times roll.
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2 e) i8 _5 a4 \) o8 HPrevious story: Bottom Line
8 N. J. C% h! l; d% r$ INext story: Building permits hit record$ x- I3 q' v; q" k5 ~

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    This site is updated by 4:00 a.m. MST each day and includes stories and columns from the day's print edition of The Edmonton Sun.  
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?
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