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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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Thu, January 11, 20070 x' o1 x8 h3 E9 M, ^% D) V8 t* n
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Price is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007
2 }2 m$ A. ?0 w' `8 p4 E$ q, QBy NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN2 W2 U5 U' {" `8 z1 I

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They're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace.
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Madeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later.
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But first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts.   O1 \8 X7 y  `' z6 q

6 T" }) u: [& t5 i# {6 K: X2 yDon't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%. % q. N( m( S1 A5 n% B! w8 l

  j' d1 r( c" n' y$ Q'CONTINUED DEMAND' * P- P5 |6 I6 q1 }- ]6 L& p7 }
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"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year." + [; A6 d( U3 Z4 F7 m; r+ _

( M/ L6 h4 w3 NShe predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter. 6 N, {- [7 g8 e# L/ @1 |/ W) {$ r
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"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed. 7 f! c) \* c3 r5 `2 M  G. u! `' K
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Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting.
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"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less."
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Still, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts.
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( O0 w9 k8 w' W"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy.
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"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged. ( Z) {  K# w/ @( ^5 E

, i1 o7 S" ?* ?! [8 Y; F/ h"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.
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5 H, h, P7 a, h$ w2 K+ Y! iHe also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable."
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Expect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages.
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& \  p5 d/ X; ?% t- eOver at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service. 1 s& m! ^; g$ K$ a" d

  u* y" \/ ~* ^, ZHis 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor.
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"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked. 1 @6 `9 b7 b) W( ]' s  D( b( L( g
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So strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share. % H/ N$ B" e- t5 f6 N2 s( I
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Yesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about. 8 P/ x1 V" s. s
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"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered. + D9 F6 ?6 E9 E

) C+ `: d6 [, n0 R0 KLet the good times roll.
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
大型搬家
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?% m" K* H; J4 n) O5 _% P8 w0 ^
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