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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
# @. \, q& C7 a' N0 eSenior Vice-President,
" e: z7 l. I! L& l7 o' NPortfolio Management
& U6 m C3 C2 A& n. N* }, ~: Kand Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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" T% _* W1 N2 b! p" wThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets) U1 @3 n/ m" P n# m3 J
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
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European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second* [/ F5 J# }0 ^ C) o7 R7 r, Z
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an% v+ d0 P9 U5 [$ u# R2 ~8 ]
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September% I3 O, m8 A- A" _0 A
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble+ r t/ z. X& E! c2 U
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit w5 e! K* I% y& F7 l
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
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U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond4 M3 O' \2 r, f( ]
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened7 r+ i( s+ v2 U& }
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
5 n8 g* q( H9 Aneutral risk positioning. |
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