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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.8 u" Z! D8 X* I+ R+ [
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
& @( o+ p8 |: D, fJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is2 e* ~" X' n+ c
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
5 e0 H8 j! Q4 q3 j+ v( [challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European$ V L4 A3 E6 N
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from' ^6 r- x% y- Y4 P. d' W* i
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could# o& r0 X4 B7 X f5 a
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.3 h4 }1 i8 i4 b% a; g
1 F* q$ s9 \( ^5 T9 t+ XThe recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of; K& P4 @5 m; Q9 n
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are/ R4 u: i: I/ I3 x7 e# z
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes. z1 n0 U7 a& H
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative6 A* n% t- d3 J5 f6 n; U" F
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
: Y% x) X) e; G* z1 C$ _recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
/ _2 m8 ^6 E+ y' m7 l, gHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects0 _7 y! s/ b- q0 Q+ C
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
& v: V" ~+ B" f: WBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
- i, F0 `, i% @$ n1 T! n( i' `, k) fconsiderable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate3 O1 @+ u1 x* j* v& z9 d$ ^
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
+ L+ ?8 ~8 F" T& [' N7 u& I3 W2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further9 L8 ]$ C* }& s1 j8 t
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
) d* f4 G+ L+ bInformation note:2 h$ [- U9 M7 I2 z0 z7 @8 |
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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