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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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, j- ]: l4 o# S" kOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ O3 U- X7 ?) D" ^( m4 ]
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly3 B5 ]# G& A% M/ m
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal% c: T+ N( C% F' T% S( s5 K
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.( L- Z2 i" C7 G' @) [ K
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
3 \- u2 |/ X3 d# Wstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: r$ k/ M& I" VUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness' ?1 K* D6 @8 i) ]1 @8 [" g
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 n q8 n) ?, y3 b/ ^
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
; s$ ~9 t; i4 }% q z0 zstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the2 H' ?8 S; J! n. Z& B
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 M% F" G" u6 N9 r$ Gin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an$ ^: w1 j/ B. f6 d( O0 x
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the/ t6 _/ Z2 V* y1 j
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# I2 m( w) b/ p
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.( ^$ n& h! c, p7 [9 G: N" ^
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, ?% ~2 {/ }: J7 R6 W# `6 Iin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. y9 k. M1 N: U" Y& k
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' P& ]0 T4 x/ W9 V4 F
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ t, I5 c% F3 `4 z) _balanced recovery." u/ G( Q+ ~) V5 p; ]* O( C
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
" F) `3 i. p7 U, w Hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 v$ j N, A6 g9 ~+ d1 Ysupply.& P; t, X- B: J
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and7 g0 B) O9 U+ P& ]( k$ |/ Y
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! |- P( Q" x& Y! d: H6 }monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # a' u: ^, ?% |8 S7 j/ `0 s; B& X+ D
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ L) p3 F9 c i% [, ~+ j1 g# C
: y! v/ v8 a& b5 C# x PGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 L7 B. @; l! K* L+ l" F M4 Kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
X0 C O9 Z9 n, w, h# ydevelopments.
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) S7 j1 T6 c s, f7 R, r9 l5 JInformation note:: T- x2 c" y( P% X1 V! W0 l1 o
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
* r, m- {, Z2 t/ Q- Q7 Pof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 u7 S. I2 d" D" d& |# ?
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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