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大家新年好,1月4日的推荐

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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2010-1-4 08:15 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
加元 Pivot: 1.036
" H7 e, E7 w2 l# L9 L2 hOur preference: Long positions above 1.036 with targets @ 1.045 & 1.0475 in extension.
- g! N4 Q; X. b" S6 |Alternative scenario: Below 1.036 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
  S/ @* a0 }# eComment: the RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.
( X0 y& T" s3 D: B$ s, f7 M澳元 Pivot: 0.91056 S3 l+ }; J5 F) _
Our preference: Short positions below 0.9105 with targets @ 0.9 & 0.8945 in extension.
/ q% \* A1 f1 ^; }9 o# b" n9 l) c; bAlternative scenario: Above 0.9105 look for further upside with 0.913 & 0.9175 as targets." P2 y4 m' A7 V5 E7 u
Comment: even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
  Y( R. s8 ~; V4 s欧元 Pivot: 1.4452 c% k5 y* b4 ~7 z
Our preference: Short positions below 1.445 with targets @ 1.4365 & 1.4325 in extension.' J/ |3 j- b( s( N3 y2 v* o0 l( L
Alternative scenario: Above 1.445 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.1 ]* ^" M3 t: u* X5 m, }
Comment: the RSI lacks upward momentumn, the pair remains below its strong resistance and should face a weakness.# a& i' g0 V6 ~& E+ U  h
英镑 Pivot: 1.625
/ R; e1 L0 l" z- Z: i) lOur preference: Short positions below 1.625 with targets @ 1.61 & 1.605 in extension.$ Y5 H% C4 j( v- R) w$ w
Alternative scenario: Above 1.625 look for further upside with 1.63 & 1.635 as targets.
$ J+ F4 r) Y5 Q3 W( mComment: the pair has struck against its resistance and should face a weakness as the RSI is turning down.
8 u7 t" b* L7 `欧日 Pivot: 133
1 Y2 @. G) Y2 m' q; H" s& _Our preference: Long positions above 133 with targets @ 134 & 134.4 in extension.
2 e+ c+ _- }3 W  p1 K9 V) a8 cAlternative scenario: Below 133 look for further downside with 132.75 & 132.35 as targets.$ @& r3 f; S4 W9 p4 n% k
Comment: the pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance.
% c. `6 |2 l3 P* T) k) V日元 Pivot: 92.45( Z/ G0 B1 _8 D( W2 `
Our preference: Long positions above 92.45 with targets @ 93.2 & 93.5 in extension.
* q; t7 L0 }7 \+ O8 n  {Alternative scenario: Below 92.45 look for further downside with 91.9 & 91.6 as targets.
$ `" P- d; B. \" a8 b) IComment: the pair should rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-1-4 11:18 | 显示全部楼层
狠好.
大型搬家
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-4 21:41 | 显示全部楼层
1月4号下午/ @+ ?2 G1 |/ w$ H5 I4 Q# {
Pivot: 1.0345+ j1 Q7 }  }7 w' d2 q8 r* ~
Our preference: Long positions above 1.0345 with targets @ 1.0445 & 1.0475 in extension.# P" O( K7 v! a% t' a0 [
Alternative scenario: Below 1.0345 look for further downside with 1.0315 & 1.0265 as targets.
( D4 h. Y$ D- G# T0 t  MComment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.
3 s0 n1 D9 y  m. WPivot: 0.9155( T; F- }& V5 v+ U$ P* s
Our preference: Short positions below 0.9155 with targets @ 0.904 & 0.901 in extension." [7 |' q/ k  W, u& c7 U  }4 x
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9155 look for further upside with 0.9185 & 0.923 as targets.
( m# \% d1 V( [3 [  [+ GComment: the RSI is overbought and is reversing down.$ f0 f9 W7 ?' }! f$ y
Pivot: 1.4465
; y# L- p5 R# D3 i! \/ h% u8 UOur preference: Short positions below 1.4465 with targets @ 1.4375 & 1.4325 in extension.8 I* e9 @0 U1 k$ U* @  g# W* [
Alternative scenario: Above 1.4465 look for further upside with 1.45 & 1.4525 as targets.
& G, |, W5 H/ J) X2 s' [9 eComment: the RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.! f1 Z# Y8 [- _& h) H; f2 C
Pivot: 1.615! t+ y% r) o3 r6 D7 U2 v8 F
Our preference: Short positions below 1.615 with targets @ 1.6065 & 1.602 in extension., n: Q, Y6 z' B
Alternative scenario: Above 1.615 look for further upside with 1.62 & 1.624 as targets./ ]- X, _6 |  a5 @2 m+ ~
Comment: the RSI is badly directed.1 ~% K% a: ~1 o) o7 K
Pivot: 133.85
/ z9 L9 H1 z. l% t6 T5 M0 ^Our preference: Short positions below 133.85 with targets @ 133.1 & 132.6 in extension.
6 Y* F7 _# k+ g" ?' F+ z) sAlternative scenario: Above 133.85 look for further upside with 134.4 & 135 as targets.
6 I' M  N# \. Q5 L) cComment: the RSI lacks upward momentum.7 c0 o) N( U' O. q5 f
Pivot: 92.958 ?% j( }/ Z3 t+ w# W
Our preference: Short positions below 92.95 with targets @ 92.25 & 91.9 in extension., _$ L( a! r# m$ n- ~6 C8 S( Z
Alternative scenario: Above 92.95 look for further upside with 93.2 & 93.5 as targets." a1 w& i% N; V6 F$ C
Comment: the RSI has just banged against its neutrality area at 50% and is reversing down.
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-4 21:51 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-1-4 21:52 编辑 4 T( ~- u$ s! L

  j; _, J* t+ V$ H  F: J1 R) |0 S5 K我推荐加元,目前位置买入,止损低于1.0350;1.0300买入,止损低于1.0250。总共不到100点的风险。9 f* y+ k% w9 H) X% T) ^
目标位置最小1.0550。如果突破1.0550可以考虑加仓,因为双底得到确认,应该有大幅继续上升的空间1.0750-1.08甚至1.11-1.12。5 l8 U+ Y) [: f! g, E2 S
以前的帖子里说过,加元会在1.03-1.08之间震荡一段时间,这一轮震荡应该快要结束了。
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大型搬家
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 10:30 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-1-5 10:37 编辑 * v, F, D3 V% q4 }0 Y. ]* H: T

; e! M: M% B3 C9 }+ \% H经过昨天晚上和今天早上的震荡,加元看起来现在突破1.0410非常困难,安全起见建议目前位置平仓。9 I) ~/ ^5 N9 c" w. r. c$ X+ t. l
另一个证据是有两对货币在日图上已经明显突破。但是今天的数据混合,房屋差,大汽车销售商好,估计震荡将要继续。
& ]' T! Z: d6 p- U4 D) ?个人建议在1.5990买入英镑,用非常紧的止损尝试一下,因为谣传这里有大量买单。而且从日图上看目前在回抽确认。
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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 10:51 | 显示全部楼层
一般执行一个交易需要三个理由,最后一个在这里,0.618黄金分割支撑位。
GBP USD 1HR.gif
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-1-5 13:11 | 显示全部楼层
英镑在0.618位置显示了良好的支撑。英镑交叉盘也为英镑提供了支持。
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鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-1-5 18:41 | 显示全部楼层
紫版又开始上班了,支持。
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