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Oilsands an emerging global growth star% t( Z# h, A% N! m) [; p
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030% f- |' \1 [# S1 s# w% ~+ w3 b: ?1 N6 k, M
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
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EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.$ ~) z& W, |9 n% u, s! q
3 K* B- D. Z! ^/ gOilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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4 m# q) P1 H/ \$ K6 C% ?Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.- }3 C: @: `0 `2 w0 ~& K% I, Y
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.
8 R+ t2 N& `3 Q" y. c& WLarry Wong, The Journal0 w# h, L; ^$ M9 e; E' A6 f
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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0 j' `, J! ~* h* hOutput from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.% o' z9 H: L* D7 C
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
